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非金属建材行业周报:铜箔提价验证 hvlp 高景气,反内卷落点有望在超产约束-20250727
SINOLINK SECURITIES·2025-07-27 10:12

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the construction materials sector, particularly focusing on companies involved in local production and supply chain integration in Africa [2][13]. Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing regulatory changes aimed at curbing excessive production and ensuring market stability, particularly in coal and other upstream industries [1][12]. - It emphasizes the importance of local manufacturing in Africa, suggesting that companies like Keda Manufacturing are well-positioned to benefit from this trend [2][13]. - The report identifies high demand for advanced materials such as RTF copper foil and HVLP copper foil, indicating a significant growth potential in the PCB upstream materials market [3][14]. Summary by Sections Weekly Discussion - The report discusses the recent regulatory changes, including the draft amendment to the Price Law aimed at clarifying standards for unfair pricing practices [1][12]. - It notes that the coal industry is under strict production limits, with annual output not exceeding announced capacity [1][12]. - The report suggests that the current focus on curbing overproduction is crucial for emerging industries like new energy vehicles [1][12]. Market Performance - The construction materials index showed a weekly increase of 7.88%, with notable performances from the cement manufacturing sector, which rose by 13.66% [21]. - The report indicates that the average price of cement is currently 341 RMB per ton, down 47 RMB year-on-year [15]. - Glass prices have seen a slight increase, with the average price reaching 1238.61 RMB per ton, reflecting a 2.20% rise [15]. Price Changes in Construction Materials - Cement prices have decreased by 0.9% this week, with significant drops in regions like Jilin and Hunan [32]. - The report notes that the average price of non-alkali winding yarn is 3618.50 RMB per ton, down 0.84% from the previous week [64]. - The floating glass market has shown signs of recovery, with prices increasing due to improved demand and reduced inventory levels [32][47]. National Subsidy Tracking - The report mentions that the government has allocated 69 billion RMB in special bonds to support the consumption of old goods, which may benefit companies in the construction materials sector [16]. Important Changes - The report highlights the introduction of the Rural Road Regulations, which will take effect in September 2025, potentially impacting infrastructure development [17]. - It also notes the approval of a new industrial merger fund by Keshun Co., indicating ongoing consolidation in the sector [17]. Economic Outlook - The report assesses the economic conditions affecting the construction materials sector, noting that demand remains subdued in traditional markets while emerging markets like Africa show robust growth potential [19]. - It emphasizes the need for companies to adapt to changing market dynamics and regulatory environments to capitalize on growth opportunities [19].