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地产及物管行业周报:上海等地陆续发布好房子标准,期待更大力度止跌回稳政策-20250727
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-07-27 10:33

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate and property management sectors [4][30]. Core Insights - The real estate market is currently experiencing a trend of destocking, with new housing market conditions still under pressure. The central government's recent statements indicate a shift towards more robust measures to stabilize the market [4][30]. - The report highlights the importance of product strength and inventory management capabilities in identifying quality real estate companies for investment [4][30]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Data - New housing transaction volume in 34 key cities increased by 19.9% week-on-week, with first and second-tier cities seeing a 24.5% increase, while third and fourth-tier cities experienced a 24.7% decrease [5][8]. - In July, the total transaction volume for new homes in 34 cities was 687.5 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 13.6% [8][9]. - The inventory of residential properties in 15 cities increased by 0.2% week-on-week, with a corresponding average monthly de-stocking period of 20 months [21][22]. 2. Industry Policies and News Tracking - The People's Bank of China maintained the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) at 3% for one year and 3.5% for five years in July [30][31]. - Various local governments have introduced policies to stimulate the housing market, including the cancellation of housing sales restrictions and adjustments to housing provident fund loan rules [30][31]. - The report notes that the fiscal revenue from property taxes increased by 12% year-on-year, while land appreciation tax revenue decreased by 17.6% [30][31]. 3. Company Announcements - Several real estate companies are actively engaging in financing activities, with notable issuances including China Merchants Shekou's bond issuance of 800 million yuan at a 1.70% interest rate [36][37]. - The report mentions that Beike-W repurchased approximately 2.49 million shares for about 16 million USD during the week [38].