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公募REITs周报(第27期):指数继续回调,各板块均收跌-20250727
Guoxin Securities·2025-07-27 15:21
  1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - This week, the China Securities REITs Index declined. The performance of property - type REITs was stronger than that of franchise - type REITs. The average weekly price changes of property - type REITs and franchise - type REITs were - 1.8% and - 2.6% respectively. All types of REITs in the market closed lower, with the smallest declines in park, transportation, and warehousing and logistics REITs. As of July 25, the average annualized cash distribution rate of public REITs was 5.9%, significantly higher than the current static yields of mainstream fixed - income assets. The dividend yield of property REITs was 138BP lower than the average dividend yield of CSI Dividend stocks, and the spread between the average internal rate of return of franchise - type REITs and the ten - year Treasury yield was 226BP [1]. - On July 25, the CICC Jinhua Xinnong Industrial Park REIT was successfully listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, with a first - day gain of 28.47%. The fund's issuance scale was 3.685 billion yuan, with a 16 - year term. The underlying asset is the "Shounong Yuan Center", which is a significant addition to the public REITs market [4]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Secondary Market Trends - As of July 25, 2025, the closing price of the China Securities REITs (closing) Index was 860.11 points, with a weekly change of - 1.79%. It performed worse than the China Securities Convertible Bond Index (+2.14%), the CSI 300 Index (+1.69%), and the China Securities All - Bond Index (-0.49%). Year - to - date, the ranking of the price changes of major indices was: China Securities Convertible Bond Index (+11.8%) > China Securities REITs Index (+8.9%) > CSI 300 Index (+4.9%) > China Securities All - Bond Index (+0.9%). In the past year, the return rate of the China Securities REITs Index was 9.8%, with a volatility of 7.1%. The total market value of REITs increased to 204.7 billion yuan on July 25, an increase of 200 million yuan from the previous week. The average daily turnover rate for the whole week was 0.72%, up 0.17 percentage points from the previous week [2][10]. - All types of REITs closed lower. Property - type REITs and franchise - type REITs had average weekly price changes of - 1.8% and - 2.6% respectively. Among different project types, the three with the smallest average declines were park infrastructure (-0.9%), transportation infrastructure (-1.4%), and warehousing and logistics (-1.7%). The top three REITs in terms of weekly gains were Bosera Tianjin Binhai New Area Industrial Park REIT (+8.49%), China Merchants Science and Technology Innovation REIT (+3.79%), and Huatai Jiangsu Expressway REIT (+2.20%). Park - type REITs had the highest trading activity, with an average daily turnover rate of 1.7% and an trading volume accounting for 31.1% of the total REIT trading volume. The top three REITs in terms of net inflow of main funds were CICC Jinhua Xinnong REIT (88.48 million yuan), China Asset Management Shenzhen International REIT (4.95 million yuan), and Hongtu Innovation Yantian Port REIT (4.9 million yuan) [3]. 3.2 Primary Market Issuance - As of July 25, 2025, there was 1 REIT product in the declared stage, 2 in the inquiry stage, 7 in the feedback stage, 6 that had passed and were waiting for listing, and 6 first - issue products that had passed and were already listed on the exchange [25]. 3.3 Valuation Tracking - From the perspective of debt nature, as of July 25, the average annualized cash distribution rate of public REITs was 5.9%, significantly higher than the current static yields of mainstream fixed - income assets. From the perspective of equity nature, the relative net value premium rate, IRR, and P/FFO were used to judge the valuation of REITs. The relative net value premium rate reflects the relationship between the market value and fair value of the fund, similar to the PB indicator of stocks; IRR is the internal rate of return calculated by the cash - flow discount method; P/FFO is the current price divided by the cash flow generated from operations. The relative net value premium rate is a long - term indicator, while P/FFO is a short - term one [27]. - As of July 25, 2025, the dividend yield of property REITs was 138BP lower than the average dividend yield of CSI Dividend stocks, and the spread between the average internal rate of return of franchise - type REITs and the ten - year Treasury yield was 226BP [30]. 3.4 Industry News - On July 22, CITIC Construction Investment assisted the Inner Mongolia Energy Co., Ltd. of the State Power Investment Corporation to establish the "State Power Investment - Inner Mongolia Company Energy Infrastructure Investment Daban Power Generation 2025 Asset - Backed Special Plan", with a scale of 2.992 billion yuan, a subscription multiple of 2.60 times, and the issuance interest rate reaching a new low for energy central - enterprise REITs. - On July 25, the CICC Jinhua Xinnong Industrial Park REIT was listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, with a first - day gain of 28.47%. It is the 69th public REIT in China, the 19th park REIT, and the first science and technology park REIT focusing on "headquarters economy" [36].