C-REITs周报：二季报业绩不佳，市场震荡下跌-20250728

Investment Rating - The report provides a cautious outlook on the C-REITs sector, indicating a rating of "C" due to underperformance in the second quarter and market volatility [1][5]. Core Insights - The C-REITs market has experienced a significant downturn, with the CSI REITs total return index declining by 1.56% this week and 1.79% for the closing index, reflecting broader market challenges [1][10]. - Year-to-date, the CSI REITs total return index has increased by 12.34%, indicating some resilience despite recent fluctuations [2][10]. - The report highlights that the municipal water conservancy and energy infrastructure sectors have faced the most substantial declines in the secondary market, with average market capitalization for listed REITs around 204.75 billion [3][12]. Summary by Sections REITs Index Performance - The CSI REITs total return index closed at 1087.4 points, down 1.56% this week, while the closing index was at 860.1 points, down 1.79% [1][10]. - Comparatively, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 indices rose by 1.69% and 2.27% respectively, indicating a relative underperformance of the REITs sector [1][10]. REITs Secondary Market Performance - The secondary market for C-REITs has seen a significant pullback, with 9 out of 68 listed REITs rising and 59 declining, resulting in an average weekly decline of 2.09% [3][12]. - The report notes that the municipal water conservancy and energy infrastructure sectors have been particularly hard hit, with declines of 4.2% and 4.39% respectively [3][12]. REITs Valuation Performance - The internal rate of return (IRR) for listed REITs shows significant differentiation, with top performers including Huaxia China Communications REIT at 11.2% and Ping An Guangzhou Guanghe REIT at 10.9% [5][12]. - The price-to-net asset value (P/NAV) ratio for REITs ranges from 0.7 to 1.8, with Huaxia China Communications REIT being noted for its lower P/NAV of 0.7 [5][12]. Industry Trends - The report indicates a potential for recovery in the REITs market in 2025, driven by a low interest rate environment and macroeconomic improvements, suggesting that timing will be crucial for secondary market investments [5][12].