银河证券每日晨报-20250728

Macro Overview - The overall fiscal data for the first half of 2025 shows a continuous improvement trend in both total and structural aspects, with broad fiscal spending increasing significantly, providing important support for economic growth [2][3] - The general public budget revenue decreased by 0.3% year-on-year, while expenditure increased by 3.4%, indicating a limited fiscal revenue gap [4][6] Industry Insights Food and Beverage: Baijiu Sector - The proportion of heavy holdings in the Baijiu sector by public funds has fallen below the standard allocation level, with a market value of 209 billion yuan, accounting for 2.9% of stock investment [28][31] - Major Baijiu companies are becoming high-dividend stocks, providing support for fund allocation despite a decline in overall holdings [31][30] Chemical Industry - The chemical industry is expected to recover from its cyclical bottom due to the "anti-involution" wave, which aims to eliminate low-price competition and improve product quality [33][34] - Supply-side structural contradictions are anticipated to ease, with capital expenditure growth slowing down, indicating potential for improved profitability in the sector [35][36] Public Utilities: Renewable Energy - The first half of 2025 saw significant growth in renewable energy installations, with wind and solar power showing year-on-year increases of 98.9% and 107.1%, respectively [39][40] - Despite a decline in new installations in June, the overall outlook for renewable energy remains positive, with substantial growth expected in the second half of the year [40][43] Robotics and Energy Storage - The company is positioned as a leader in the reverse Carnot cycle industry chain, with significant growth potential in humanoid robots and energy storage thermal management systems [22][25] - The automotive parts business is also expected to grow rapidly, particularly in the context of the increasing demand for new energy vehicles [24][25]