二级债久期逼近4.5年：品种久期跟踪

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - As of July 25, the weighted average trading durations of urban investment bonds and industrial bonds were 2.19 years and 3.46 years respectively, both at over 90% of the quantile levels since March 2021 [2][10]. - The ticket - duration congestion index declined and then slightly increased, currently at the 17.60% level since March 2021 [13]. Summary by Catalog 1. All - Variety Duration Overview - The weighted average trading durations of urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, secondary capital bonds, bank perpetual bonds, general commercial financial bonds, securities company bonds, securities sub - bonds, insurance company bonds, and leasing company bonds were 2.19 years, 3.46 years, 4.45 years, 3.86 years, 2.74 years, 1.50 years, 2.31 years, 3.65 years, and 1.22 years respectively [2][10]. - The ticket - duration congestion index reached its peak in March 2024 and then declined, rising slightly this week compared to last week, and is currently at 17.60% of the level since March 2021 [13]. 2. Variety Microscope Urban Investment Bonds - The weighted average trading duration hovered around 2.19 years. Shaanxi provincial urban investment bonds' duration extended to nearly 8 years, while Guangdong prefecture - level city urban investment bonds' duration shortened to around 2.69 years [3][17]. - The duration quantiles of urban investment bonds in regions such as Henan provincial, Shandong prefecture - level city, Jiangsu district - county level, and Fujian district - county level have exceeded 90%, and the duration of Chongqing district - county level urban investment bonds is approaching the highest since 2021 [3][17]. Industrial Bonds - The weighted average trading duration shortened slightly compared to last week, generally around 3.46 years. The trading duration of the coal industry shortened to 1.85 years, while that of the building materials industry extended to 3.79 years [3][22]. - The trading duration of the real estate industry is at a relatively low historical quantile, while industries such as public utilities, transportation, commerce and retail, and building materials are at over 90% of the historical quantiles [3][22]. Commercial Bank Bonds - The duration of general commercial financial bonds extended to 2.74 years, at the 98.6% historical quantile, higher than the same period last year [3][25]. - The duration of secondary capital bonds extended to 4.45 years, at the 99.1% historical quantile, higher than the same period last year [3][25]. - The duration of bank perpetual bonds extended to 3.86 years, at the 72.1% historical quantile, higher than the same period last year [3][25]. Other Financial Bonds - In terms of weighted average trading duration, insurance company bonds > securities sub - bonds > securities company bonds > leasing company bonds, at 82.6%, 57%, 26.9%, and 69.4% of the historical quantiles respectively. The durations of insurance company bonds and securities sub - bonds slightly extended compared to last week [4][28].