Huachuang Securities·2025-07-28 09:16Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Haier Smart Home (600690) with a target price of 34.5 CNY [2][8]. Core Views - The recent allocation of 69 billion CNY in national subsidies is expected to positively impact Haier's air conditioning business, particularly in northern China and the European and American markets, leading to improved revenue and profit [2][8]. - The company is anticipated to benefit from high temperatures in major cities, which have reached an average maximum of 31.1°C, the highest in five years, driving demand for air conditioning [8]. - The report highlights that Haier's air conditioning sales in the northeast region have seen a significant increase, with retail sales growth exceeding 300% in early July due to the heat [8]. - The U.S. real estate market is expected to improve, which may positively influence demand for home appliances, as there is a strong correlation between real estate and appliance sales [8]. - The report emphasizes that Haier's management has shown confidence in the company's future by increasing their shareholdings, indicating a positive outlook for the second half of the year [8]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 285,981 million CNY in 2024 to 354,115 million CNY in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 9.4%, 8.4%, 7.2%, and 6.5% respectively [4]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 18,741 million CNY in 2024 to 26,426 million CNY in 2027, with growth rates of 12.9%, 13.0%, 12.2%, and 11.3% [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to rise from 2.00 CNY in 2024 to 2.82 CNY in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios decreasing from 13 to 9 [4][8].