Mobileye (US:MBLY) SPDB International·2025-07-28 09:33Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Mobileye (MBLY.US) with a target price adjusted to $18.1, indicating a potential upside of 17% [1][3]. Core Insights - Mobileye's 2Q25 performance exceeded expectations, with revenue reaching $506 million, a 15% year-over-year increase. The company has raised its full-year revenue guidance to a range of $1.765 to $1.885 billion [9][12]. - The company is optimistic about its growth trajectory, expecting a revenue inflection point in 2027, driven by advancements in autonomous driving technology and partnerships with major players like Volkswagen, Lyft, and Uber [9][12]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for Mobileye from 2023 to 2027 are as follows: - 2023: $2,079 million - 2024: $1,654 million - 2025E: $1,851 million - 2026E: $1,948 million - 2027E: $2,650 million - The adjusted net profit is forecasted to grow from $659 million in 2023 to $540 million in 2027, with a notable increase of 56% in 2027 [2][10]. Performance Metrics - In 2Q25, Mobileye's total shipment volume reached 9.7 million units, a 28% increase year-over-year, with EyeQ chip shipments close to 9.65 million units [12]. - The adjusted gross margin for 2025 is projected at 68.5%, with an adjusted net profit margin of 15.6% [13][15]. Valuation - The report employs a DCF valuation method, estimating a WACC of 12.3% and a perpetual growth rate of 3%, leading to a target price of $18.1 per share [9][14].