Investment Rating - The food and beverage industry is rated as "stronger than the market" [1][3] Core Views - The food and beverage sector has shown a weekly increase of 0.74%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index which rose by 1.67% [1][7] - The industry is currently at a historical low valuation, with a PE-TTM of 21.41x, placing it in the 16th percentile over the past 15 years [14][17] - The white liquor sector is experiencing a rebound driven by external economic and policy factors, particularly the Ya River hydropower project, which is expected to boost consumption [4][22] - The beer sector faced slight pressure in June, with production down by 0.2% year-on-year, but Qingdao Beer is diversifying into the water market [29][30] - The dairy sector shows a mixed performance, with production up by 4.1% in June, but prices for fresh milk are still under pressure [34][36] - The soft drink market is shifting towards health and functionality, with electrolyte drinks seeing significant sales growth [40][41] Summary by Sections Market Review - The food and beverage sector increased by 0.74% in the week of July 21-25, ranking 26th among 31 sub-industries [1][7] - The sector's performance was better from Monday to Thursday, gaining 2.44%, but saw a significant drop of 1.65% on Friday [1][7] White Liquor - Public funds have significantly reduced their allocation to white liquor, with a heavy reliance on stable pricing and dividends from leading companies like Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye [3][22] - The Ya River hydropower project is expected to stimulate white liquor consumption due to increased infrastructure investment [22][24] Beer - In June, beer production was 4.12 million kiloliters, a slight decrease of 0.2% year-on-year, attributed to weak dining consumption [29][30] - Qingdao Beer is expanding into the health drink market, leveraging celebrity endorsements to boost sales [30][41] Dairy Products - Dairy production in June reached 254.6 thousand tons, up 4.1% year-on-year, while the average price of fresh milk is stabilizing [34][36] Soft Drinks - The trend towards health and functionality is reshaping the soft drink market, with significant growth in electrolyte drink sales, which increased from 476 million yuan to 1.493 billion yuan year-on-year [40][41]
食品饮料行业跟踪报告:食饮持仓环比减少,雅江项目催化白酒行情
Shanghai Aijian Securities·2025-07-28 11:02