证券研究报告 行业研究 / 行业点评 2026 年 02 月 24 日 电子 强于大市 投资要点： 一年内行业指数与沪深 300 指数对比走势： 资料来源：聚源数据，爱建证券研究所 相关研究 《电子行业跟踪报告：摩尔线程推出智能编程 服务》2026-02-09 《电子行业周报：AI 算力需求爆发，带动半 导体设备、存储赛道景气度上行》2026-02-03 《电子行业跟踪报告：OpenClaw 助力 AI Agent 技术范式升级》2026-02-03 《电子行业周报：Intel 25Q4 服务器与人工智 能业务增长亮眼》2026-01-26 《电子行业跟踪报告：存储封测或将迎来戴维 斯双击》2026-01-26 许亮 S0820525010002 0755-83562506 xuliang@ajzq.com 联系人 朱俊宇 S0820125040021 021-32229888-25520 zhujunyu@ajzq.com 行业及产业 字节跳动发布 Seedance 2.0 ——电子行业跟踪报告 事件：2026 年 2 月 12 日，字节跳动正式发布了新一代音视频创作模型 Seedance 2.0，该 模型 ...

证券研究报告 行业研究 / 行业点评 2026 年 02 月 09 日 机械设备 一年内行业指数与沪深 300 指数对比走势： 资料来源：聚源数据，爱建证券研究所 相关研究 《智能制造行业周报：SpaceX 申请百万颗卫星， 卫星互联网产业化提速》2026-02-02 《智能制造行业周报：SpaceX 推进星链升级与 IPO 进程》2026-01-26 《以第一性原理推演中国商业航天降本革命— —商业航天行业深度系列（一)》2026-01-21 《智能制造行业周报：看好 2026 年中国商业 航天产业拐点确立》2026-01-20 《神开股份（002278.SZ）首次覆盖报告：深 海装备国产化破局，AI 驱动数字油服商业模式 升级》2025-12-20 王凯 S0820524120002 021-32229888-25522 wangkai526@ajzq.com 行业及产业 存储扩产确定性提升，持续推荐"两长"设 备产业链 ——智能制造行业周报（2026/02/02-2026/02/06） 观点：长江存储三期项目量产节奏前移，公司在全球 NAND 市场份额与资本开支占比有望 同步提升，对半导体设备需求形成明 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating for the industry [2]. Core Insights - The establishment of a national pricing mechanism for energy storage capacity is expected to stabilize revenue for new energy storage systems, which is a positive development for the industry [2]. - The report highlights a significant increase in the average price of lithium battery storage systems, indicating a trend of rising costs in the energy storage sector [2]. - The report notes a decrease in production for both photovoltaic components and lithium batteries, suggesting a restructuring in supply dynamics within the industry [2][3]. Summary by Sections Production - Photovoltaic component production is projected to decrease by 13.58% month-on-month in December 2025, while lithium battery production is expected to decline by 10.5% month-on-month in February 2026 [2]. - The total production capacity for batteries in China is forecasted at 188 GWh for February 2026, with a global forecast of 195 GWh [2]. Pricing - As of February 4, 2026, the price of polysilicon remains stable at 54.00 CNY/kg, while the average price of 183N monocrystalline silicon wafers has decreased by approximately 7.41% to 1.25 CNY/piece [2]. - The average price for lithium battery storage systems in December 2025 was 0.5882 CNY/Wh, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 2.82% [2]. Domestic Demand - In November 2025, the domestic installation of photovoltaic systems reached 22.02 GW, marking a month-on-month increase of 74.76% [2]. - The cumulative installed capacity for photovoltaic systems in China from January to November 2025 was 274.89 GW, showing a year-on-year growth of 33.25% [2]. Overseas Demand - The export value of photovoltaic components in December 2025 was approximately 2.314 billion USD, representing a year-on-year increase of 18.22% [2]. - The export value of inverters in December 2025 was 839 million USD, which is a year-on-year increase of 26.12% [2].

Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Outperform" [2] Core Insights - The data center industry has become the core incremental application scenario for the power equipment sector, directly driving demand growth and technological iteration for power equipment [5][2] - The report emphasizes the need to incorporate AI industry multidimensional indicators to accurately gauge the demand for power distribution equipment, given the capital expenditure scale and long investment return cycles in the data center sector [2][5] - Key indicators are constructed from three aspects: demand side (capital expenditure from leading cloud vendors), supply chain (GPU supply tracking), and AI application side (development of AI applications) [2][5] Summary by Sections Demand Side - Capital expenditure from overseas major cloud vendors reached $113.862 billion in Q4 2025, a year-on-year increase of 59.42% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14.30% [7] - Alibaba's capital expenditure in Q3 2025 was 31.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 80.10% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 18.55% [10] - Tencent's capital expenditure in Q3 2025 was 13 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 24.05% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 32.05% [10] Supply Chain - NVIDIA's total revenue in Q3 2025 was $57.006 billion, with data center product revenue reaching $51.215 billion, marking a historical peak with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 24.62% and a year-on-year growth of 66.44% [15] - TSMC's revenue in December 2025 was 335 billion NTD, a year-on-year increase of 20.4% [22] - The CPU price index in December 2025 was 101.21, showing a slight increase from 99.04 in November [27] AI Application Side - The token call volume from January 27 to February 2, 2026, was 9.81 trillion, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter growth of 26.91% [36] - The price of tokens for models scoring over 40 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index decreased by over 50% in Q3 2025 [45] - The report highlights the steady growth in the number of AI models and the increasing application deployment, which directly impacts the capital expenditure cycle of data centers [29]

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Outperform" [2] Core Insights - The production of positive materials in December showed a year-on-year increase, with domestic battery production reaching 201.7 GWh in December 2025, a growth of approximately 62% year-on-year and 14% month-on-month [2] - Lithium carbonate prices have decreased, with industrial-grade lithium carbonate priced at 134,000 CNY/ton as of February 6, 2026, reflecting a weekly decline of 9.46% [2] - The average price of energy storage cells has significantly increased, with prices for various types of lithium iron phosphate cells rising by 3.02% to 4.96% as of February 6, 2026 [2] - The demand for lithium iron phosphate batteries reached a monthly shipment of 79.8 GWh in December 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 30.82% [2] - The global sales of new energy vehicles reached 2.1521 million units in December 2025, showing a year-on-year growth of 11.50% [2] Summary by Sections Production - In December 2025, the production of lithium iron phosphate positive materials was 26,930 tons, a year-on-year increase of 32.48% [2] Prices - The average price of lithium iron phosphate (power type) was reported at 47,100 CNY/ton on January 9, 2026, an increase of 4.43% from January 4, 2026 [2] - The average price of liquid-cooled container energy storage systems increased slightly, with prices reaching 0.48 and 0.55 CNY/Wh as of February 6, 2026 [2] Domestic Demand - The monthly shipment of ternary power batteries remained stable at 18.2 GWh in December 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 27.27% [2] Overseas Demand - The export volume of Chinese power batteries in December 2025 was 19.0 GWh, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 47.29% [2]

Investment Rating - The electronic industry is rated as "Outperform" compared to the market [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the launch of the AI Coding Plan by Moer Thread, which is the first domestic full-function GPU computing base for intelligent development solutions, achieving key technological breakthroughs in AI coding [5][6] - The global AI programming tools market is rapidly evolving, with tools transitioning from "auxiliary plugins" to "full-stack development partners," indicating a significant shift towards commercial adoption [10][14] - The report emphasizes the increasing demand for AI applications, particularly in the context of AI infrastructure investments driven by the popularity of AI applications [2][5] Summary by Sections 1. Moer Thread's AI Coding Plan - Moer Thread's AI Coding Plan offers a high-performance, highly compatible domestic programming solution, leveraging the MTT S5000's full precision computing capabilities [6] - The service has been optimized across all dimensions, including computing power, model selection, and tool adaptation, ensuring seamless integration with mainstream programming tools [6][7] - The GLM-4.7 model used in the AI Coding Plan ranked first in a global blind test, outperforming even GPT-5.2 in various coding scenarios [6][10] 2. Global Industry Dynamics - AMD reported a revenue of $10.3 billion for Q4 2025, a 34% year-on-year increase, with a net profit of $1.5 billion, reflecting strong performance in the semiconductor sector [31] - Google surpassed $400 billion in annual revenue for 2025, driven by a 48% increase in cloud services revenue, highlighting the growing demand for AI infrastructure [33] - Amazon's Q4 2025 revenue reached $213.4 billion, with AWS cloud computing revenue growing by 24%, indicating robust growth in cloud services [34] 3. Market Review - The SW electronic industry index decreased by 5.23% this week, ranking 29th out of 31 sectors, while the SW primary industry index showed varied performance across sectors [2][45] - The top-performing sub-sectors within the electronic industry included brand consumer electronics and optical components, while digital chip design and integrated circuit packaging faced significant declines [49][52]

证券研究报告 行业研究 / 行业点评 2026 年 02 月 09 日 行业及产业 信达生物与礼来合作再度升级，打造全 球创新生态体系 医药生物 一年内行业指数与沪深 300 指数对比走势： 资料来源：聚源数据，爱建证券研究所 相关研究 《医药行业跟踪报告：MNC 重金加码中国创新 药，中国 IO2.0 双抗出海迈出关键一步》 2026-02-02 《医药行业跟踪报告：医药板块迎来开门红， 2026 年继续看好创新出海和硬科技》 2026-01-13 《2026 年度医药行业策略：创新出海新征程， 寻找需求新增量》2026-01-05 《医药行业跟踪报告：蚂蚁阿福 App 上线带动 "AI+大健康"投资热情，关注英矽智能新股发 爱建证券有限责任公司 售》2025-12-22 《医药行业跟踪报告：全球减重疗法研究进展 丰富，三靶点激动剂和 siRNA 创新疗法数据亮 眼》2025-12-15 张智聪 S0820525020002 021-32229888-25524 zhangzhicong@ajzq.com ——医药行业跟踪报告 强于大市 投资要点： 医药板块行情复盘：本周（2/2~2/8）在周一大跌后，市场 ...

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Outperform the Market" [4][19]. Core Insights - The liquor industry is entering a phase of rapid performance clearing, with demand expected to show weak recovery as policy pressures ease. The industry is currently at a low valuation, and pessimistic expectations are fully priced in. The direction of industry clearing is becoming clearer, and the bottom is increasingly defined. The control of volume and stable pricing is driving the recovery of wholesale prices, with recent acceleration in the price of mainstream products showing positive signals. Leading liquor companies are increasing dividend ratios, enhancing yield attractiveness. Long-term, it is recommended to focus on high-quality leading companies with strong performance certainty, particularly Guizhou Moutai, which has stable pricing and a solid competitive moat [3][4]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The food and beverage industry increased by 4.31% in the week of February 2-6, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which decreased by 1.27%. Among 31 sub-industries, food and beverage ranked first [4][5]. - The sub-sectors within food and beverage, ranked by performance, are as follows: liquor (+5.29%), soft drinks (+4.71%), beer (+4.48%), seasoning and fermented products (+3.81%), dairy (+2.62%), snacks (+1.86%), pre-processed foods (+1.58%), meat products (+1.28%), baked goods (+0.61%), other alcoholic beverages (-0.44%), and health products (-1.36%) [4]. Guizhou Moutai Insights - Online sales data for i Moutai is impressive, with offline sales exceeding expectations, driving up wholesale prices. As of February 2, i Moutai reported over 15.31 million monthly active users, with 6.28 million new users and over 2.12 million orders, of which over 1.43 million were for mainstream products, accounting for about 67% [4]. - The establishment of direct sales channels for i Moutai has effectively shortened the distribution chain, reaching previously underserved C-end consumers, particularly in self-consumption and family consumption. This has systematically released suppressed C-end demand [4]. - The recent performance indicates that Moutai's market-oriented transformation strategy is receiving positive feedback from the market, with the direct sales channel and distribution system achieving initial collaborative success in customer segmentation and service functions [4].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [2][7]. Core Insights - The company is expected to see significant growth in its renewable energy business, with a projected increase in revenue and net profit over the next few years. The net profit estimates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.90 billion, 3.77 billion, and 5.56 billion respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 62, 31, and 21 [7]. - The company is actively expanding into overseas markets, particularly in Europe and North America, which are expected to contribute to profit growth due to high margins and favorable market conditions [7][8]. - The company is positioned as a key supplier in the distribution network equipment sector, benefiting from the increasing investment in power grids both globally and in China [7][8]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 3,140 million in 2023, 3,473 million in 2024, 4,607 million in 2025, 6,834 million in 2026, and 10,427 million in 2027, with growth rates of 66.8%, 10.6%, 32.7%, 48.4%, and 52.6% respectively [6][29]. - The gross profit margin is expected to stabilize around 20% in the coming years, with specific margins of 19.6% in 2023, 20.6% in 2024, and 20.7% in 2026 [29]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to increase from 6.7% in 2023 to 22.3% in 2027, indicating improved profitability [6][29]. Industry and Company Situation - The company’s main business includes renewable energy development and smart electrical equipment, with a focus on wind and solar energy projects. The global and Chinese investment in power grids is expected to continue growing, providing a favorable environment for the company [7][8]. - The company has a comprehensive layout in the renewable energy sector, which allows it to control project costs effectively and enhance its competitive advantage [7][8]. - The company has received UL certification for its transformers, facilitating entry into the North American market, which presents significant growth opportunities [7][8]. Unique Perspectives - Contrary to the market's view that competition in the electrical equipment and renewable energy sectors is intense, the report highlights the company's strategic advantages and growth potential due to increasing grid investments and its comprehensive approach to renewable energy [7][8]. - The report emphasizes the potential for substantial revenue and profit contributions from the company's planned high-carbon ferrochrome alloy project, which is expected to enhance its overall financial performance [7][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 7.0 to 8.0 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 51.50% to 73.14% [6] - The company has initiated a share buyback program, reflecting confidence in long-term development and steady optimization of its capital structure [6] - The company's high-end copper-based materials are rapidly gaining traction in the overseas market for computing heat dissipation, with significant sales growth [6] - The fluctuation of copper prices has a limited impact on the company's profitability due to its pricing model based on processing fees rather than copper prices [6] - The company is actively exploring "aluminum replacing copper" strategies to optimize its profit structure and enhance its ability to hedge against copper price volatility [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to grow from 110.5 billion yuan in 2023 to 153.6 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 7.1% [5][8] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 527 million yuan in 2023 to 1.186 billion yuan in 2027, with a peak growth rate of 53.9% in 2025 [5][8] - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to rise from 0.30 yuan in 2023 to 0.80 yuan in 2027 [5][8] - The company's gross margin is anticipated to improve gradually from 2.3% in 2023 to 2.9% in 2027 [8] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to increase from 6.4% in 2023 to 10.3% in 2027 [5][8]