通信行业周观点：25Q2公募持仓回升，算力军备竞赛升温-20250728

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the communication industry [9] Core Insights - In Q2 2025, the communication sector saw a decline of 0.57%, ranking 31st among major industries, but has increased by 17.08% since the beginning of the year, ranking 7th [2][4] - Public fund holdings in the communication sector significantly increased in Q2 2025, with optical modules being the core focus for allocation [5] - The AI arms race is intensifying as North American tech giants ramp up investments, leading to a "Davis Double Play" moment for the AI industry chain, which is expected to accelerate commercial monetization and boost PE valuations [2][7] - The communication sector's valuation remains low, offering high cost-performance for allocation [7] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The communication sector's performance in Q2 2025 shows a 0.57% decline, with a year-to-date increase of 17.08% [2][4] - Top gainers in the sector include Dongxin Peace (+34.1%), Shen Sanda A (+9.8%), and Dingtong Technology (+9.7%), while the biggest losers are Dekeli (-9.6%), Hengbao Shares (-8.3%), and Yingweik (-7.3%) [4] Fund Holdings - In Q2 2025, public fund holdings in the communication sector rose to 5.37%, an increase of 2.63 percentage points, ranking 6th among 32 major industries [5] - The allocation ratios for communication equipment, telecom applications, and operators were 4.52%, 0.11%, and 0.74%, respectively, with year-on-year increases [5] AI Investment Trends - Major North American companies are significantly increasing their AI investments, with Meta planning two large data centers with a total capacity of 3 GW by 2030 [6] - Oracle and OpenAI are adding 4.5 GW of data center capacity, while Google has raised its capital expenditure plan for 2025 from $75 billion to $85 billion [6] - The report highlights the rapid growth in AI application usage and the increasing demand for AI computing resources [6] Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom for operators; Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, and Tianfu Communication for optical modules; and Fenghuo Communication and Huafeng Technology for domestic computing [7] - AI application recommendations include Heertai, Tuobang Shares, and Meige Intelligent [7]