每日投资策略-20250729

Global Market Overview - The Chinese stock market is experiencing an upward trend, with innovative pharmaceuticals leading the charge. Heng Rui Pharmaceutical has secured a $500 million upfront payment and potential orders worth $12 billion from foreign pharmaceutical companies [2] - Strong performance in computing hardware stocks, particularly in CPO and PCB sectors. Insurance stocks are also performing well, with Xinhua Insurance reaching a historical high [2] - Macau's satellite casinos are set to cease operations by the end of the year, with two being acquired by Aobo Holdings, signaling a shift in the gaming industry [2] - Recent trading restrictions have led to significant declines in coking coal and other cyclical stocks, while the yield on RMB government bonds has decreased slightly [2] Economic Policies and Impacts - The Chinese government is implementing economic rebalancing policies, including annual childcare subsidies of 3,600 yuan for children aged 0-3, which will cost approximately 100 billion yuan. Additionally, free preschool education will be gradually introduced, costing around 400 billion yuan [2] - These policies are expected to boost household consumption by approximately 0.6% and nominal GDP by about 0.25% [2] - The market regulatory authority is taking steps to address low-quality competition among enterprises and enhance safety regulations for food, pharmaceuticals, and industrial products [2] International Market Trends - European stock markets have declined, although the semiconductor sector has seen gains. A trade agreement between the US and Europe has been reached, but investors perceive it as more beneficial to the US [2] - In the US, stock performance is mixed, with energy, information technology, and consumer discretionary sectors rising, while real estate, materials, and utilities are down. Nvidia shares have rebounded nearly 2%, contributing to new highs for the stock index [2] - Investors are closely monitoring upcoming earnings reports from major tech companies such as Microsoft, Meta, Apple, and Amazon, focusing on future profit guidance and AI capital expenditure [2] Market Indicators - US Treasury yields have slightly increased, and the dollar index has surged. Oil prices have rebounded to a two-week high amid threats of sanctions against Russia by Trump [2] - Gold prices have experienced a pullback [2]