液化石油气日报：利好驱动不足，市场氛围延续弱势-20250729

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided on the industry investment rating Group 2: Report Core View - The LPG fundamental is currently weak, with a dull market atmosphere. The PG main contract shows some signs of stabilization after continuous declines, and there is short - term support from the crude oil side. However, the expected decline in August CP prices suppresses the market. The overall supply is sufficient, demand is weak, and there is limited positive news [1] - The strategy for the LPG market is to expect a sideways movement, and attention should be paid to the bottom - building signals on the trading board [2] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Market Analysis - On July 28, the regional LPG prices were as follows: Shandong market, 4570 - 4650 yuan/ton; Northeast market, 4190 - 4510 yuan/ton; North China market, 4530 - 4640 yuan/ton; East China market, 4280 - 4600 yuan/ton; Yangtze River market, 4500 - 4690 yuan/ton; Northwest market, 4050 - 4300 yuan/ton; South China market, 4448 - 4550 yuan/ton [1] - In the second half of August 2025, the CIF prices of frozen LPG in East China were propane at 546 dollars/ton (down 6 dollars/ton) and butane at 523 dollars/ton (down 6 dollars/ton), equivalent to 4296 yuan/ton (down 42 yuan/ton) and 4115 yuan/ton (down 42 yuan/ton) in RMB respectively. In South China, propane was at 539 dollars/ton (down 8 dollars/ton) and butane at 516 dollars/ton (down 10 dollars/ton), equivalent to 4241 yuan/ton (down 58 yuan/ton) and 4060 yuan/ton (down 74 yuan/ton) in RMB respectively [1] - The LPG fundamental is weak, with a dull market atmosphere. Although the PG main contract shows some signs of stabilization after continuous declines and there is short - term support from the crude oil side, the expected decline in August CP prices suppresses the market. Overseas supply remains abundant, domestic supply is sufficient, and demand is weak [1] Strategy - Unilateral: Sideways movement, pay attention to the bottom - building signals on the trading board; Cross - period: None; Cross - variety: None; Futures - spot: None; Options: None [2]