Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - On July 28, at the end of the month, the central bank conducted continuous large - scale net injections, resulting in a balanced and slightly loose capital market. The bond market continued its upward trend, while the convertible bond market adjusted, with most convertible bond issues declining. Yields on US Treasury bonds of various maturities generally increased, and yields on 10 - year government bonds of major European economies generally decreased [1]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Bond Market News - Domestic News: - On July 28, China and the US held economic and trade talks in Stockholm, Sweden, aiming to translate the important consensus of the two heads of state into specific policies and actions [3]. - During the 14th Five - Year Plan period, the national cumulative new tax and fee cuts are expected to reach 10.5 trillion yuan, and export tax rebates are expected to exceed 9 trillion yuan [3]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology emphasized eight key tasks for the second half of the year, including implementing the strategy of expanding domestic demand and promoting high - quality development of key industrial chains [4]. - The national childcare subsidy program was announced. Starting from January 1, 2025, families with children under 3 years old can receive an annual subsidy of 3,600 yuan per child [4]. - International News: The US Treasury Department expects net borrowing of 1.007 trillion US dollars from July to September this year, an increase of more than 450 billion US dollars from the previous forecast, mainly due to the impact of the debt ceiling. It also expects net borrowing of 590 billion US dollars from October to December [6]. - Commodities: On July 28, WTI September crude oil futures rose 2.38% to 66.71 US dollars per barrel, Brent September crude oil futures rose 2.34% to 70.04 US dollars per barrel, COMEX August gold futures fell 0.77% to 3,310 US dollars per ounce, and NYMEX natural gas prices fell 2.04% to 3.032 US dollars per ounce [7]. 3.2 Capital Market - Open Market Operations: On July 28, the central bank conducted 495.8 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations at a fixed - rate, quantity - tender method, with a net injection of 325.1 billion yuan [9]. - Funding Rates: On July 28, due to the central bank's continuous large - scale net injections, major repurchase rates declined. DR001 dropped 5.53bp to 1.462%, and DR007 dropped 7.17bp to 1.581% [10]. 3.3 Bond Market Dynamics - Interest - rate Bonds: - Spot Bond Yield Trends: On July 28, the bond market continued its upward trend. By 20:00 Beijing time, the yield of the 10 - year Treasury bond active issue 250011 fell 1.75bp to 1.7150%, and the yield of the 10 - year CDB bond active issue 250210 fell 2.75bp to 1.8000% [13]. - Bond Tendering: Information on the tendering of several bonds such as 25Nongfa Discount 06 (Add 3) and 25Guokai 06 (Add 25) was provided, including maturity, issuance scale, winning yield, etc. [14]. - Credit Bonds: - Secondary - market Transaction Abnormalities: On July 28, the transaction prices of 5 industrial bonds deviated by more than 10%. For example, "24Yuanhang Holdings PPN001 (Restructuring)" fell more than 13%, and "H1Bidi 01" rose more than 350% [14]. - Credit Bond Events: Multiple companies announced various events, such as Jingfeng Pharmaceutical failing to repay a 117 - million - yuan loan, Zhengbang Technology's subsidiary entering pre - reorganization, etc. [15]. - Convertible Bonds: - Equity and Convertible Bond Indexes: On July 28, the three major A - share stock indexes rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index rising 0.12%, 0.44%, and 0.96% respectively. The major convertible bond indexes fell, with the CSI Convertible Bond Index, Shanghai Convertible Bond Index, and Shenzhen Convertible Bond Index falling 0.70%, 0.62%, and 0.81% respectively [16]. - Convertible Bond Tracking: Taifu Convertible Bond announced not to redeem early and will not choose early redemption if the early - redemption clause is triggered again within the next three months [18]. - Overseas Bond Markets: - US Bond Market: On July 28, the yield of the 2 - year US Treasury bond remained unchanged at 3.91%, while yields on other maturities generally increased. The 10 - year US Treasury bond yield rose 2bp to 4.42% [21]. - European Bond Market: On July 28, the yield of the 10 - year UK government bond rose 3bp, while yields on 10 - year government bonds of other major European economies generally decreased. For example, the yield of the 10 - year German government bond fell 3bp to 2.69% [24]. - Price Changes of Chinese - funded US - dollar Bonds: As of the close on July 28, price changes of various Chinese - funded US - dollar bonds were provided, including daily changes, credit entities, bond balances, etc. [26].
国家育儿补贴方案公布,资金面均衡偏松,债市延续暖势
Dong Fang Jin Cheng·2025-07-29 08:10