Ruida Futures(SZ:002961) Rui Da Qi Huo·2025-07-29 09:48Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core View of the Report On Tuesday, the HC2510 contract increased in position and rose. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology deployed eight key tasks for the second half of the year, including formulating an action plan to enhance the adaptability of consumer goods supply and demand to boost consumption. In terms of supply and demand, the weekly output of hot-rolled coils continued to decline, with a capacity utilization rate of 81.11%. Both factory and social inventories increased, with a total inventory increase of 2.25 million tons. Overall, the fourth round of coke price increase, combined with the fermentation of meeting expectations, led to a rebound in hot-rolled coils. Technically, the 1-hour MACD indicator of the HC2510 contract showed that DIFF and DEA rebounded upwards. Operationally, short-term trading is recommended, paying attention to rhythm and risk control [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - HC main contract closing price: 3,503 yuan/ton, up 106 yuan [2]. - HC main contract position: 1,612,699 lots, up 131,532 lots [2]. - HC contract top 20 net position: -81,030 lots, down 15,423 lots [2]. - HC10 - 1 contract spread: -4 yuan/ton, up 8 yuan [2]. - HC Shanghai Futures Exchange warehouse receipt: 57,772 tons, down 590 tons [2]. - HC2510 - RB2510 contract spread: 156 yuan/ton, up 7 yuan [2]. Spot Market - Hangzhou 4.75 hot-rolled coil: 3,480 yuan/ton, up 20 yuan [2]. - Guangzhou 4.75 hot-rolled coil: 3,470 yuan/ton, up 20 yuan [2]. - Wuhan 4.75 hot-rolled coil: 3,500 yuan/ton, up 20 yuan [2]. - Tianjin 4.75 hot-rolled coil: 3,400 yuan/ton, up 20 yuan [2]. - HC main contract basis: -23 yuan/ton, down 86 yuan [2]. - Hangzhou hot-rolled coil - rebar spread: 0 yuan/ton, down 30 yuan [2]. Upstream Situation - Qingdao Port 61.5% PB iron ore fines: 773 yuan/wet ton, down 1 yuan [2]. - Hebei quasi-primary metallurgical coke: 1,315 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - Tangshan 6 - 8mm scrap steel: 2,290 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - Hebei Q235 billet: 3,150 yuan/ton, up 60 yuan [2]. - 45-port iron ore inventory: 137.9038 million tons, up 51,700 tons [2]. - Sample coking plant coke inventory: 498,000 tons, down 56,200 tons [2]. - Sample steel mill coke inventory: 6.4 million tons, up 9,100 tons [2]. - Hebei billet inventory: 1.0692 million tons, up 33,000 tons [2]. Industry Situation - 247 steel mill blast furnace operating rate: 83.48%, unchanged [2]. - 247 steel mill blast furnace capacity utilization rate: 90.78%, down 0.14% [2]. - Sample steel mill hot-rolled coil output: 3.1749 million tons, down 36,500 tons [2]. - Sample steel mill hot-rolled coil capacity utilization rate: 81.11%, down 0.93% [2]. - Sample steel mill hot-rolled coil factory inventory: 780,000 tons, up 6,900 tons [2]. - 33-city hot-rolled coil social inventory: 2.6716 million tons, up 15,600 tons [2]. - Domestic crude steel output: 83.18 million tons, down 3.36 million tons [2]. - Steel net export volume: 9.21 million tons, down 890,000 tons [2]. Downstream Situation - Automobile production: 2.7941 million vehicles, up 145,600 vehicles [2]. - Automobile sales: 2.9045 million vehicles, up 218,100 vehicles [2]. - Air conditioner production: 28.3831 million units, down 1.0969 million units [2]. - Household refrigerator production: 9.0474 million units, up 537,400 units [2]. - Household washing machine production: 9.5079 million units, up 95,900 units [2]. Industry News - On July 28, mainstream steel mills in the Tangshan market and some steel mills in the Xingtai area planned to raise the price of wet-quenched coke by 50 yuan/ton and dry-quenched coke by 55 yuan/ton, effective at 0:00 on July 29, 2025 [2]. - From July 21 to July 27, 2025, global shipyards received a total of 43 + 10 new ship orders, with Chinese shipyards receiving 33 + 10 orders, Japanese shipyards receiving 3 orders, and South Korean shipyards receiving 2 orders [2].