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哪些科创债已经调整出性价比?
INDUSTRIAL SECURITIES·2025-07-29 14:02

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - In the week from July 21 - 25, 2025, the bond market adjusted. The net value of benchmark market - making credit bond ETFs and science - innovation bond ETFs declined significantly, and the overall net subscription of science - innovation bonds was 5.56 billion yuan. Institutions may have redeemed ETF shares to cope with liquidity shocks [4]. - After the adjustment, some science - innovation bonds have fallen to a point where they offer value. For allocation portfolios, some exchange - traded science - innovation bonds with a remaining term of 4 - 5 years are worth considering; for trading portfolios, short - term index component science - innovation bonds are more attractive [4]. - The science - innovation bond ETF is expected to expand further. After the adjustment, index component science - innovation bonds with a widening relative spread have certain value, and investors can participate at the current adjusted points and wait for the spread to recover [46]. Summary by Directory I. First Batch of Science - Innovation Bond ETFs Expanded Rapidly in One Week after Listing - On July 17, 2025, 10 science - innovation bond ETFs were listed. By July 25, the total scale exceeded 100 billion yuan, with a growth rate of over 250% [15]. - The 10 products were all raised on July 7, 2025, and the total raised scale was about 29 billion yuan, indicating strong market demand [15]. - There are differences in product elements such as redemption methods, product durations, and component bond capacities among these 10 science - innovation bond ETFs [20]. II. Index Component Bonds of Science - Innovation Bond ETFs Led the Decline in this Adjustment - In terms of net value fluctuations, the net value of benchmark market - making credit bond ETFs and science - innovation bond ETFs declined by about 0.3% in a week [29]. - In terms of subscription and redemption data, the overall net subscription of science - innovation bonds was 5.56 billion yuan, while short - term financing ETFs and benchmark market - making credit bond ETFs with good liquidity were more affected by redemptions, suggesting that institutions may have redeemed shares for liquidity reasons [4]. - In terms of the performance of underlying component bonds, science - innovation bond index component bonds had a faster adjustment speed and a larger adjustment range. Exchange - traded non - science - innovation index component science - innovation bonds and inter - bank science - innovation bonds were relatively more resilient [35]. III. Which Science - Innovation Bonds Have Fallen to an Attractive Level? - After the adjustment, the overall yield of science - innovation bonds increased, and the inversion between the average valuation of short - term component bonds and the 1 - year AAA certificate of deposit yield improved significantly. However, the yields of 1 - year - below and 1 - 2 - year science - innovation bond index component bonds of AAA grade were still 1 - 2 BP lower than the 1 - year AAA certificate of deposit yield [39]. - The relative spread between exchange - traded and inter - bank science - innovation bonds of the same issuer showed differentiation. Index component science - innovation bonds with a widening relative spread have certain value, and investors can participate at the current adjusted points [44]. - For allocation portfolios, some exchange - traded science - innovation bonds with a remaining term of 4 - 5 years are worth considering due to the relatively large increase in valuation compared to their inter - bank counterparts and the attractive static coupon income [46]. - For trading portfolios, it is more advisable to focus on 1 - 2 - year index component science - innovation bonds that have adjusted significantly, have a large outstanding scale, and a valuation higher than 1.67% [49].