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债券指数基金2025年Q2跟踪与展望:规模与丰富度双升
HTSC·2025-07-29 13:57

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Views of the Report - In Q2 2025, the scale and quantity of bond index funds (including ETFs) both increased, with the total scale exceeding 1.5 trillion yuan. Bond ETFs were the main force in the growth of bond index funds, and the expansion of credit bond ETFs, especially benchmark market - making credit bond ETFs, was particularly significant. Meanwhile, the underlying asset categories and duration structures of bond index funds became more balanced and diversified, and the细分 strategies of index funds such as credit bonds and financial bonds also became more abundant [1]. - With the expansion of index bond fund varieties, increased policy support, and the deepening of the entry process of pension funds into the market, domestic bond index funds (including ETFs) are expected to achieve accelerated development through policy guidance and product innovation [6]. Summary According to the Table of Contents Bond Index Funds are Entering the Fast - Lane of Development - In Q2 2025, the scale and quantity of bond index funds (including ETFs) both increased. The total scale reached 1.55 trillion yuan, with a quarter - on - quarter increase of over 300 billion yuan, a quarter - on - quarter growth rate of 25%, contributing 36% of the total bond fund's quarter - on - quarter increase. Year - on - year, it increased by more than 560 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 57%, contributing 180% of the bond fund's year - on - year increase. The number of bond index funds (excluding 10 Sci - tech innovation bond ETFs) reached 343, an increase of 13 from the previous quarter [11]. - Bond ETFs were the main force in the growth of bond index funds. By the end of Q2 2025, the total scale of bond ETFs reached 38.44 billion yuan, with a quarter - on - quarter growth of 76% and a year - on - year growth of 250%, contributing more than half of the bond index fund's increase. As of July 23, 2025, the total scale of bond ETFs exceeded 500 billion yuan. Among them, 10 Sci - tech innovation bond ETFs exceeded 10 billion yuan in just 5 trading days after their listing on July 17 [13]. - In terms of the structure, Southern Fund, GF Fund, and Fullgoal Fund ranked in the top three in terms of the total scale of pure - bond index fund products (excluding convertible bond products) under each institution. After including 2 convertible bond ETF products, Bosera Fund, Southern Fund, and GF Fund ranked in the top three, all with a scale of over 100 billion yuan. In terms of increments, the scale of Haifutong's pure - bond index products increased the most in Q2, mainly due to the rapid expansion of its short - term financing ETF products [16]. The Product Line of Bond Index Funds is Becoming More Abundant Underlying Asset Categories - For bond index funds (excluding ETFs), the main investment directions are policy - financial bonds and inter - bank certificates of deposit. However, since Q2, credit bond index funds have expanded significantly, with their scale exceeding that of inter - bank certificate of deposit - type products for the first time, ranking second. In addition, the proportions of financial bond and comprehensive bond index fund products have also increased slightly [5]. - For bond ETFs, the scale of benchmark market - making credit bond ETFs exceeded that of policy - financial bonds in Q2, becoming the largest sub - category. As of Q2 2025, the scale of benchmark market - making credit bond ETFs exceeded 220 billion yuan, accounting for over 30% [28]. Duration Structure - For bond index funds (excluding ETFs), the 1 - 3 - year and 3 - 5 - year maturity segments had a higher proportion, and the proportion of the scale of the over - 5 - year maturity segment increased significantly since Q2. By the end of Q2 2025, the proportions of the 1 - 3 - year and 3 - 5 - year maturity segments of index bond funds were 30% and 42% respectively, and the proportion of the over - 5 - year maturity segment increased by about 5 percentage points to 16% [32]. - For bond ETFs, previously, the 1 - 3 - year segment was the main one. Since Q2, the proportion of the 3 - 5 - year segment has increased significantly, mainly due to the expansion of benchmark market - making credit bond ETFs. The weighted average duration of benchmark market - making credit bond ETFs is between 3 - 4 years. The expansion of benchmark market - making credit ETFs has led to the proportion of 3 - 5 - year bond ETFs increasing from about 5% in Q1 to 40% [32]. Sub - Strategies - The sub - strategies and types of index funds such as credit bonds and financial bonds have become more diverse, covering multiple sub - themes such as investment - grade, green theme/ESG, and regional. Among the 13 newly - added bond index funds in Q2, 5 belong to credit bond index funds (including financial bonds) and cover multiple sub - themes [42]. Future Development Ideas for Bond Index Funds Future Development Space for Bond Index Funds - Referring to the experience of overseas mature markets such as the United States, the domestic bond index funds (including ETFs) are expected to achieve accelerated development through policy guidance and product innovation. The current scale of domestic bond index funds is at a relatively low level compared with that in the United States, and there is broad development space [47][48]. Development Ideas for Bond Index Funds - Layout comprehensive bond index funds. Currently, there is a gap in on - exchange comprehensive products in China, while in the United States, they were developed earliest and have the largest scale [6]. - Enrich the duration supply, such as increasing the supply of long - duration varieties such as local bonds over 10 years and credit bonds over 5 years [6]. - Refine the sub - strategies and types of credit products, such as focusing on ESG sub - fields, climate change themes, and Sci - tech innovation bonds to enrich the strategy levels [6]. - Link to overseas bond index funds, such as Southbound Connect bond index funds [6]. - Deepen the development of cross - market bond ETFs and active bond ETFs [6].