票息资产热度图谱:10bp的利差调整足够吗?
SINOLINK SECURITIES·2025-07-29 14:09
- Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - As of July 28, 2025, the valuation yields and spreads of private enterprise industrial bonds and real estate bonds in the outstanding credit bonds are generally higher than other varieties. Compared with last week, the yields of non - financial and non - real estate industrial bonds have been adjusted, and the yields of state - owned enterprise private non - perpetual real estate bonds have increased across the board. In the financial bonds, the yields of various financial varieties have basically increased [3][4][13]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Overall Credit Bond Situation - The weighted average valuation yields and spreads of different types of credit bonds (including urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, and financial bonds) are presented, along with their changes compared to last week [13][15][16]. 3.2 Urban Investment Bonds 3.2.1 Public Urban Investment Bonds - The weighted average valuation yields in Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces are below 2.4%. Yields exceeding 4.5% are found in prefecture - level and district - county - level areas of Guizhou. Higher spreads are also observed in regions such as Guangxi, Yunnan, and Gansu. Compared with last week, the yields of public urban investment bonds have generally increased, with the 2 - 3 - year varieties having a larger adjustment range [3][26]. - Specific varieties with a large increase in yields include 2 - 3 - year Anhui provincial perpetual bonds, 1 - year - within Gansu prefecture - level non - perpetual bonds, 1 - 2 - year Liaoning prefecture - level non - perpetual bonds, and 2 - 3 - year Hainan provincial perpetual urban investment bonds [26]. 3.2.2 Private Urban Investment Bonds - The weighted average valuation yields in coastal provinces such as Shanghai, Zhejiang, Guangdong, and Fujian are below 2.9%. Yields higher than 4% are found in prefecture - level areas of Guizhou. Higher spreads are also present in Shaanxi, Yunnan, Gansu, etc. Compared with last week, the yields of private urban investment bonds have mainly increased. The varieties with a large increase in yields are 3 - 5 - year Guangxi district - county - level non - perpetual bonds, 1 - 2 - year Ningxia prefecture - level non - perpetual bonds, 2 - 3 - year Guizhou district - county - level non - perpetual bonds, and 1 - 2 - year Guangxi provincial non - perpetual urban investment bonds, with increases of 18.8BP, 15.6BP, 14.1BP, and 12.7BP respectively [3][40]. 3.3 Industrial Bonds - The valuation yields and spreads of private enterprise industrial bonds and real estate bonds are generally higher than other varieties. - For non - financial and non - real estate industrial bonds, the yields have been adjusted. The 2 - 3 - year private enterprise public perpetual varieties have a relatively larger increase, with an average increase of 147.5BP. In real estate bonds, the yields of state - owned enterprise private non - perpetual varieties have increased across the board, and the yields of 1 - 2 - year private enterprise public non - perpetual varieties have increased by 11.1BP [4][13]. 3.4 Financial Bonds - Varieties with high valuation yields and spreads include leasing company bonds, urban and rural commercial bank capital supplementary tools, and securities sub - bonds. - Compared with last week, the yields of various financial varieties have basically increased. In leasing bonds, the 1 - 2 - year varieties have a larger increase, with an average of about 10BP. In general commercial financial bonds, the interest rates of each variety have increased, with an amplitude of 4 to 7BP. In secondary perpetual bonds, the increase in the yields of rural commercial bank secondary capital bonds mostly exceeds that of other bank varieties, and the increase in the yields of rural commercial bank secondary bonds within 1 year and 2 - 3 years is greater than 20BP. In addition, in securities company bonds and sub - bonds, the increase in the yields of 3 - 5 - year securities company private non - perpetual sub - bonds exceeds 10BP [5][13].