Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Viewpoints Through macro - fundamental analysis and technical analysis, the report predicts the trend of various futures on July 30, 2025. It is expected that stock index futures will show a relatively strong oscillation, while some commodity futures such as polycrystalline silicon, industrial silicon, lithium carbonate, coking coal, glass, soda ash, alumina, and crude oil futures will oscillate with an upward tendency. Ten - year and thirty - year treasury bond futures are likely to oscillate weakly [2]. Summary by Directory 1. Futures Market Outlook - Stock index futures (IF2509, IH2509, IC2509, IM2509) are expected to oscillate strongly on July 30, 2025, with specific resistance and support levels provided [2][19]. - Ten - year treasury bond futures T2509 and thirty - year treasury bond futures TL2509 are likely to oscillate weakly on July 30, 2025, and will test support levels [2][39]. - Gold (AU2510), silver (AG2510), copper (CU2509), and other commodity futures are expected to oscillate strongly on July 30, 2025, and will attack resistance levels [2][3]. 2. Macro News and Trading Tips - During the Sino - US economic and trade talks from July 28 - 29, the two sides agreed to extend the suspension of the US's 24% reciprocal tariffs and China's counter - measures for 90 days [7]. - The IMF significantly raised China's GDP growth forecast for 2025 to 4.8% and for 2026 to 4.2%. The global economic growth forecast for 2025 was raised to 3% [10]. - US economic data: In June, the US commodity trade deficit narrowed by 10.8% month - on - month; in May, the S&P/CS20 major city house price index and FHFA house price index had different changes; in June, JOLTS job openings were 743.7 million, less than expected [11]. 3. Commodity Futures - related Information - Most domestic commodity futures rose in night trading. Black series such as coking coal and coke, and non - metallic building materials such as glass and PVC increased [11]. - Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange adjusted the intraday flat - today trading fees for glass and soda ash futures contracts from the night trading session on July 30 [12]. 4. Futures Market Analysis and Outlook - Stock index futures: On July 29, 2025, IF2509, IH2509, IC2509, and IM2509 had different trends, with some continuing to rebound slightly and some facing slight downward pressure [14][15][16]. - Treasury bond futures: On July 29, 2025, treasury bond futures closed down across the board. The central bank conducted 4492 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net injection of 2344 billion yuan [37]. - Other commodity futures: Each commodity futures contract had different trends on July 29, 2025, and the report provided expected trends and resistance/support levels for July 30, 2025 [43][51][54] etc.
股指期货将偏强震荡,多晶硅、工业硅、碳酸锂、焦煤、玻璃、纯碱、氧化铝、原油期货将震荡偏强
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2025-07-30 02:02