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7月政治局会议点评:稳增长与防风险并重

Group 1 - The Politburo meeting on July 30 acknowledged the positive economic momentum in the first half of the year while emphasizing the need for bottom-line thinking and proactive fiscal and monetary policies [1][8] - Key areas for risk mitigation identified include real estate, local government debt, and capital markets, with a focus on enhancing domestic demand and effective investment [1][3][9] - The meeting highlighted the importance of service consumption and proposed measures to stimulate private investment and expand effective investment in the context of a weak real estate sector [10][11] Group 2 - The upcoming Fourth Plenary Session in October will directly address the formulation of the 15th Five-Year Plan, reflecting the urgency of planning in the current international environment [4][11] - The meeting's content was largely in line with expectations, with limited incremental policies introduced, leading to a muted market reaction [12]