Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "stronger than the market" with an expectation of a relative increase of over 10% in the industry index compared to the broader market within the next six months [25]. Core Insights - The textile and apparel industry is projected to have a pre-profit rate of 51% for the first half of 2025, with 22 out of 43 companies expected to be profitable [1][10]. - The performance of sub-sectors within the industry is varied, with the textile manufacturing sector showing a higher pre-profit rate of 60% [2][14]. - The overall industry performance is described as flat, with a decrease in the proportion of companies expecting profit growth and an increase in those continuing to incur losses [10][23]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - As of July 28, 2025, 43 out of 107 A-share companies in the textile and apparel sector have released performance forecasts, resulting in a disclosure rate of 40%, ranking second among eight major consumption sectors [9][10]. - The proportion of companies reporting first-time losses decreased from 22% in 2024 to 14% in 2025, while the share of companies with ongoing losses increased from 28% to 35% [10][23]. Sub-sector Analysis - The textile manufacturing sector has a pre-profit rate of 60%, with 6 companies expected to be profitable, while the apparel and home textile sector has a pre-profit rate of 48% [2][14]. - The apparel and home textile sector saw a slight increase in the proportion of companies expecting profit growth from 14% to 17%, while the textile manufacturing sector experienced a decline in this metric from 55% to 40% [16][23]. Investment Recommendations - For textile manufacturing, it is advised to focus on companies with cost and scale advantages as tariff agreements improve [3][23]. - In the apparel and home textile sector, companies with strong brand power are expected to benefit from a recovery in downstream demand [3][23]. - In the jewelry sector, while high gold prices may suppress short-term demand, long-term improvements in craftsmanship are anticipated to enhance market penetration [3][23].
纺织服饰行业跟踪报告:2025H1纺织服饰预盈率为51%,关注关税协议落地和终端需求回暖
Wanlian Securities·2025-07-30 11:28