Hongfa(SH:600885) Xinda Securities·2025-07-30 12:34Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 8.347 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.43%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 964 million yuan, up 14.19% year-on-year, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 927 million yuan, reflecting a 17.85% increase year-on-year [1][4] - In Q2 2025, the company reported a revenue of 4.364 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 15.51%, and a net profit of 553 million yuan, which is a 13.25% increase year-on-year [1] - The company maintains a strong position in the relay product market, with steady growth in consumer electronic relays and rapid growth in signal relays. The industrial relay sector is experiencing a continued recovery, while the high-voltage relay segment is expected to maintain high growth due to the increasing penetration of new energy vehicles in Europe [4] - The company is developing five new product categories, including low-voltage electrical appliances and connectors, which are expected to drive stable growth in its low-voltage switch business. The current sensor shipments increased by 36% year-on-year, and thin-film capacitor shipments rose by 31% year-on-year in H1 2025 [4] - Profit forecasts indicate that the net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 1.97 billion yuan, 2.27 billion yuan, and 2.60 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 21%, 16%, and 15% [4] Financial Summary - The total revenue for 2023 is projected at 12.93 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 11%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 1.393 billion yuan, also reflecting an 11.4% year-on-year increase [3] - The gross profit margin is forecasted to be 36.8% in 2023, slightly decreasing to 35.9% by 2025 [3] - The company's P/E ratio is projected to decrease from 25.34 in 2023 to 17.97 in 2025, indicating an improving valuation [3]