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华能国际(600011):煤价下跌大幅改善盈利能力,容量电价上调在即
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-07-30 12:44

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Huaneng International is "Outperform" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The report highlights that the decline in coal prices has significantly improved profitability, and an adjustment in capacity electricity prices is imminent [7] - The company reported a revenue of RMB 112.03 billion in H1 2025, a decrease of 5.7% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 9.26 billion, an increase of 24.3% year-on-year, exceeding expectations [7] - The report emphasizes the company's ability to leverage falling coal costs to enhance profit margins in thermal power generation [7] - The company is actively expanding its renewable energy capacity, with significant increases in wind and solar installations [7] - The adjustment in capacity electricity pricing is expected to stabilize profitability and enhance the value of thermal power generation [7] - The report projects an increase in net profit for 2025-2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios indicating a favorable valuation [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is estimated at RMB 241.48 billion, with a year-on-year decline of 1.7% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be RMB 13.05 billion in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 28.7% [6] - Earnings per share are expected to rise to RMB 0.83 in 2025, with a gross margin of 17.2% [6] - The return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to be 8.8% in 2025 [6] - The report indicates a significant improvement in profit margins due to lower coal prices, with thermal power profit per kilowatt-hour increasing by 98% year-on-year [7]