HTSC·2025-07-30 15:38Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1][4] Core Views - The report expresses optimism about the company's value enhancement based on three main factors: strong growth potential, favorable copper and gold prices, and the potential revaluation of gold assets [1][3] - The company has a clear plan for copper and gold production growth, with a projected CAGR of 8-10% from 2024 to 2028 [1] - The report highlights the company's strong performance in Q2, with a net profit of 13 billion RMB, a 28% increase quarter-on-quarter, and a significant rise in gold production and prices [1][4] Summary by Sections Company Performance - The company achieved a net profit of 13 billion RMB in Q2, with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 28% and a non-recurring net profit of 11.6 billion RMB, up 18% [1] - The average gold price increased by 15% to 770 RMB per gram, and gold production rose by 15% to 21.9 tons [1] Market Outlook - The report maintains a positive outlook on copper prices, expecting them to rise above 10,000 USD per ton in the long term due to supply constraints and strong demand [2] - Gold prices are anticipated to remain in the range of 3,100 to 3,500 USD per ounce, driven by inflation expectations and changes in global asset allocation [2] Valuation and Estimates - The report projects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 44.8 billion RMB, 51.8 billion RMB, and 58.8 billion RMB respectively, with growth rates of 39.67%, 15.70%, and 13.46% [4][7] - The target price is set at 25.92 RMB for A-shares and 27.91 HKD for H-shares, reflecting an increase of 15.25% and 28.44% respectively from previous estimates [4]