集运日报：部分班轮公司小幅下调运价，多空博弈下盘面涨跌互现，不建议继续加仓，设置好止损。-20250730

Report Overview - Report Date: July 30, 2025 [1] - Report Type: Container Shipping Daily Report - Research Group: Shipping Research Group Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - Amid geopolitical conflicts and tariff uncertainties, trading is challenging, so it's recommended to participate with light positions or stay on the sidelines [4] - Some liner companies slightly reduced freight rates in mid - August, and the market is divided on the future spot freight rate trend, with the overall market showing wide - range oscillations and mixed closing prices [4] - Attention should be paid to tariff policies, the Middle East situation, and spot freight rate conditions [4] Summary by Related Content Freight Rate Index - On July 28, the Shanghai Export Container Settlement Freight Index (SCFIS) for the European route was 2400.50 points, down 0.9% from the previous period; for the US West route, it was 1301.81 points, up 2.8% [3] - On July 25, the Ningbo Export Container Freight Index (NCFI) composite index was 1110.57 points, down 3.26% from the previous period; the European route was 1422.9 points, down 1.20%; the US West route was 1120.51 points, down 5.19% [3] - On July 25, the Shanghai Export Container Freight Index (SCFI) composite index was 1592.59 points, down 54.31 points from the previous period; the European line price was 2090 USD/TEU, up 0.53%; the US West route was 2067 USD/FEU, down 3.50% [3] - On July 25, the China Export Container Freight Index (CCFI) composite index was 1261.35 points, down 3.2% from the previous period; the European route was 1787.24 points, down 0.9%; the US West route was 880.99 points, down 6.4% [3] Market News - The Trump administration postponed the tariff negotiation date to August 1, and the spot market price range is set, with a slight price increase to test the market, leading to a small rebound in the market [4] - On July 29, the main contract 2510 closed at 1460.0, down 1.77%, with a trading volume of 41,700 lots and an open interest of 50,700 lots, an increase of 32 lots from the previous day [4] - Israel's cabinet is considering a full - scale military occupation of the Gaza Strip and strengthening the siege of some city centers in the area, and also considering cutting off the power supply to the Gaza Strip [6] - The US and the EU reached a 15% tariff agreement, with the EU expected to increase investment in the US by $600 billion, purchase US military equipment, and buy $150 billion of US energy products [6] Strategy Recommendations - Short - term strategy: The short - term market may rebound. Risk - takers are advised to partially take profits on the long positions in the 2510 contract below 1300 (which has made a profit of over 300 points). For the EC2512 contract, short positions are recommended with light positions, and it's not advisable to hold losing positions. Set stop - losses [5] - Arbitrage strategy: Against the backdrop of international turmoil, the market is mainly in a positive spread structure with large fluctuations. It's recommended to stay on the sidelines or try with light positions [5] - Long - term strategy: For each contract, it's recommended to take profits when the price rises, wait for the price to stabilize after a pullback, and then judge the subsequent direction [5] Contract Adjustments - The daily price limit for contracts from 2508 to 2606 is adjusted to 18% [5] - The company's margin for contracts from 2508 to 2606 is adjusted to 28% [5] - The daily opening limit for all contracts from 2508 to 2606 is 100 lots [5]