东吴证券晨会纪要-20250731

Macro Strategy - The meeting of the Political Bureau on July 30 acknowledged the economic growth of 5.3% in the first half of the year, laying a good foundation for achieving the annual growth target of around 5% [1][8] - The meeting emphasized the need for macro policies to continue to strengthen and improve efficiency, particularly if there are significant fluctuations in consumption, exports, or the real estate sector in the second half of the year [1][8] - Key policy goals include stabilizing employment, enterprises, markets, and expectations, while enhancing the flexibility and predictability of policies [1][8] Fixed Income - The issuance of secondary capital bonds totaled 109.9 billion yuan during the week of July 21-25, with a total trading volume of approximately 288.1 billion yuan, an increase of 45.4 billion yuan from the previous week [4][15] - The issuance of green bonds during the same period reached approximately 36 billion yuan, a rise of 27.4 billion yuan compared to the previous week, with a total trading volume of 61 billion yuan [4][16] - The market for convertible bonds is expected to see increased volatility, with high-priced bonds exhibiting high odds but low win rates, while low-priced bonds are showing increased marginal value [3][14] Company Analysis - Hongfa Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 8.347 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 15.43%, and a net profit of 964 million yuan, up 14.19% [6][7] - Laopu Gold's adjusted net profit for the first half of 2025 is expected to increase by 282% to 292%, benefiting from the expansion of high-end channels domestically and internationally [6][7]