冠通期货资讯早间报-20250731

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - China is to implement more proactive fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies, and promote the construction of a unified national market [4]. - The global financial market shows complex fluctuations, affected by factors such as geopolitical tensions, supply - demand changes, and policy adjustments [2][24][50]. - The U.S. government's tariff policies have a significant impact on the international trade and financial markets [7][15][32]. Summary by Related Catalogs Overnight Night - Market Trends - Domestic futures: Most domestic futures main contracts declined. Glass and coking coal dropped over 4%, soda ash fell over 3%, and asphalt rose nearly 1% [2]. - International precious metals: COMEX gold futures dropped 1.58% to $3327.9 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures fell 2.90% to $37.175 per ounce [2]. - Oil prices: Geopolitical tensions and supply tightening pushed up oil prices. U.S. crude oil main contract rose 1.57% to $70.30 per barrel, and Brent crude oil main contract rose 1.49% to $72.75 per barrel [2]. - London base metals: Most London base metals declined, including LME nickel, lead, and tin [2]. Important Information Macroeconomic Information - China's policy: The Politburo meeting emphasized risk prevention, policy implementation, and market reform. The Central Committee also held a symposium with non - Communist Party personages to promote economic development [4]. - Sino - U.S. economic and trade relations: The two sides held economic and trade talks in Stockholm, and China hopes for the U.S. to work together to maintain stable economic and trade relations [4]. - Market regulations: The Shanghai International Energy Exchange imposed regulatory measures on over - trading clients, and the Fed maintained interest rates with internal differences [5]. - Tariff policies: The U.S. imposed tariffs on Brazil, and the total tariff rate reached 50% [7]. Energy and Chemical Futures - Company operations: Hualu Hengsheng will conduct equipment maintenance, and the impact of Typhoon "Bamboo Grass" affected the shipping and wood processing industries in Jiangsu [10]. - Inventory changes: The refined oil inventory in the UAE's Fujairah Port decreased, while China's methanol port inventory increased. The U.S. commercial crude oil and strategic petroleum reserve inventories also changed [10][11]. Metal Futures - Production changes: A large recycled lead smelter in North China resumed production, and a primary lead smelter in Northeast China planned equipment maintenance [14]. - Market data: New energy vehicle retail sales in July showed certain changes, and the Guangzhou Futures Exchange adjusted trading limits for some metal futures contracts [14]. - Tariff policies: The U.S. imposed a 50% tariff on imported semi - finished copper products [15]. Black - Series Futures - Policy emphasis: The Politburo meeting emphasized safety production and energy supply [18]. - Price adjustments: The coking industry planned to raise coke prices, and relevant associations called for anti - "involution" competition [18]. - Company operations: Gansu Energy's coal mine resumed production, and relevant industrial alliances called for balancing industry interests [19]. Agricultural Product Futures - Policy guidance: The Politburo meeting emphasized stabilizing agricultural product prices [22]. - Production forecasts: Brazil's grain production is expected to increase, while India's sugar production decreased [22]. Financial Market Finance - Stock market performance: A - shares closed with mixed results, and the Hong Kong stock market declined. Some private equity products were restricted, and A - share margin trading balance reached a new high [24][26]. - Corporate news: Hon Hai and Dongyuan Electric established a strategic alliance, and New Oriental's financial report showed revenue growth but profit decline [26][27]. Industry - Interest rate data: The weighted average interest rate of new commercial personal housing loans in Q2 2025 was 3.09% [28]. - Trade policies: Lithium - ion battery raw materials and recycled steel raw materials can be freely imported [29]. - Industry meetings: The coking industry planned to raise prices, and relevant associations discussed capacity control and market regulation [29][31]. - Real estate market: The land market in July had a seasonal decline, but the average premium rate reached a new high [31]. Overseas - Tariff policies: The U.S. imposed tariffs on multiple countries' products, and reached a trade agreement with South Korea [32][33]. - Economic data: The U.S., eurozone, Australia, and other economies released relevant economic data, and the Canadian central bank maintained interest rates [35][37][39]. International Stock Markets - U.S. stock market: The three major U.S. stock indexes closed with mixed results, and the market's expectation of a September interest rate cut decreased [41]. - European stock market: European main stock indexes rose slightly [41]. - Corporate news: Some well - known companies such as META, Microsoft, and Qualcomm released financial reports, and some companies had major events such as acquisitions [43][45]. Commodities - Futures trading: The Guangzhou Futures Exchange adjusted trading limits for some metal futures contracts [48]. - Commodity prices: Precious metals, base metals, and oil prices showed different trends [50]. Bonds - Domestic bonds: Yields of domestic inter - bank major interest - rate bonds generally declined, and relevant departments regulated the bond market [51]. - U.S. bonds: The U.S. Treasury announced a refinancing plan, and U.S. bond yields rose [51][53]. Foreign Exchange - Exchange rates: The on - shore and offshore RMB against the U.S. dollar declined, and the U.S. dollar index rose [54]. Upcoming Events and Data Releases - Economic data: Multiple countries will release economic data such as PMI and retail sales [56]. - Meetings and events: There will be central bank meetings, press conferences, and important industry conferences [58]. - Earnings reports: Apple and Amazon will release earnings reports [58].