上海沿浦（605128）：2025Q2业绩符合预期，汽车整椅业务可期

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company's performance in Q2 2025 met expectations, with significant growth in the automotive seat business anticipated [2][4]. - The company achieved a revenue of 4.83 billion yuan in Q2 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.6% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q2 2025 was 0.45 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 50.7% [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 9.16 billion yuan, down 7.2% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 0.78 billion yuan, up 26.0% year-on-year [1]. - The gross margin for Q2 2025 reached 18.4%, an increase of 0.9 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Business Development - The company has established a dedicated team for automotive seats and has launched a high-standard R&D laboratory, engaging in negotiations with several leading automotive manufacturers for customized seat solutions [2]. - The company has expanded its customer base significantly, with new projects expected to contribute approximately 60.59 billion yuan in revenue over five years, which would account for 53.2% of the company's total revenue in 2024 [3]. Growth Opportunities - The company is diversifying into the railway sector, having won a bid for a railway container project worth 5.87 billion yuan, set to commence production in October 2023 [4]. - The company is also preparing to supply high-speed train seats, having obtained the necessary supply qualifications [4]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 31.39 billion yuan, 40.91 billion yuan, and 51.14 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 2.07 billion yuan, 2.97 billion yuan, and 3.86 billion yuan [4][5]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for the same period are 0.98 yuan, 1.41 yuan, and 1.83 yuan, respectively [5].