HTSC·2025-07-31 06:32Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [7][24]. Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 49.34 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.44%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 2.077 billion yuan, up 3.01% year-on-year. However, the second quarter saw a decline in revenue and net profit, with a year-on-year decrease of 2.6% and 8.25%, respectively, primarily due to weak performance in the central air conditioning segment and increased asset impairment [1][2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company's central air conditioning business faced pressure, with revenue from the subsidiary Hisense Hitachi declining by 6% year-on-year to 10.66 billion yuan, and net profit down by 4.9% to 1.86 billion yuan. Domestic sales of central air conditioning dropped by 15.9%, while external sales showed a growth of 24.9% [2][3]. - The home air conditioning segment performed positively, with a revenue increase of approximately 14% year-on-year. The company’s ice washing business also saw a modest revenue growth of 4.8% [3][4]. Profitability and Margins - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was reported at 21.48%, an increase of 0.69 percentage points year-on-year, driven by improved overseas margins and rising margins in the ice washing segment [4][5]. - The report indicates a slight increase in expense ratios due to sports marketing and foreign exchange fluctuations, with the expense ratio rising by 0.51 percentage points year-on-year [4]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts net profits attributable to the parent company of 3.75 billion yuan, 4.20 billion yuan, and 4.70 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The report suggests that the company will benefit from the release of replacement demand and its strong brand presence [5][21]. - The target market capitalization is set at 490.98 billion yuan, with a target price of 35.42 yuan for A-shares and 30.62 HKD for H-shares, reflecting a valuation discount due to exchange rate and market volatility risks [5][24].