货币基金2025Q2季报点评：收益下行的挑战

Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In Q2 2025, the scale of money market funds rebounded seasonally, and the growth rate of the scale picked up due to the increase in the relative income advantage over deposits. However, the yield of money market funds is expected to continue to decline, and the scale growth may slow down [2][5]. - In Q2, the yield spread between funds, certificates of deposit, and money market funds fluctuated and declined, which may enhance institutional investors' motivation to subscribe for money market funds [3]. - The yield distribution range of money market funds continued to move down, and the loosening of funds in Q2 accelerated the decline in yields [3]. - In Q2, money market funds significantly increased their holdings of deposits, and the proportion of deposits rebounded significantly. They also increased their holdings of bonds, but the proportion of bonds decreased. In addition, money market funds extended their durations and increased leverage [4]. Summary by Related Catalogs Money Market Fund Scale Changes - In Q2 2025, the asset net value of money market funds reached 14.21 trillion yuan, an increase of 90.46 billion yuan from the previous quarter and a year - on - year increase of 20.59 billion yuan. The scale rebounded seasonally [9]. - The year - on - year growth rate of the asset net value of money market funds rose from 6.7% in March to 7.9% in June. The average seven - day annualized yield of money market funds in the whole market decreased from 1.45% in March to 1.34% in June, a decrease of 11.17 bps. The yield advantage of money market funds over deposits increased, which promoted the rebound of the scale growth rate [12]. - In Q2, the yield spread between funds, certificates of deposit, and money market funds fluctuated and declined. Considering the tax advantages of money market funds, institutional investors' motivation to subscribe for money market funds may have increased [15][18]. Money Market Fund Yield Interval Distribution - In Q2, more money market funds had yields below 1.4%, accounting for 40%, an increase of 5 percentage points from the previous quarter. The average yields of money market funds in the whole market from April to June were 1.42%, 1.35%, and 1.34% respectively. The loosening of funds in Q2 accelerated the decline in yields [22]. Money Market Fund Institutional Behavior Changes - In Q2, money market funds increased their bond holdings by 36.96 billion yuan and their deposit holdings by 1.14 trillion yuan. The bond proportion decreased by 2.52% to 54.05%, and the deposit proportion rebounded by 5.62% to 26.97%. Among the bonds, money market funds increased their holdings of certificates of deposit by 34.59 billion yuan, and the proportion of inter - bank certificates of deposit in the market value of bond investments increased to 85.15% [4][26]. - At the end of Q2, the average remaining maturity of the investment portfolio of money market funds was 83.16 days, 7.50 days longer than the previous quarter; the average leverage ratio was 105.81%, an increase of 1.85% from the previous quarter. The duration returned to a high level, and the leverage was at a neutral level [4][29]. Changes in the Scale of Inter - bank Certificate of Deposit Funds - In Q2 2025, the scale of inter - bank certificate of deposit funds increased slightly by 640 million yuan to 125.8 billion yuan. The number increased to 101, and the average scale per fund decreased from 2.149 billion yuan at the end of 2023 to 1.246 billion yuan in Q2 [33].