湘财证券晨会纪要-20250731

Group 1: Utility Industry - China Resources Power has high-quality thermal power assets and is accelerating its renewable energy development [3] - The company reported a revenue of HKD 105.28 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1.9%, and a net profit of HKD 14.39 billion, up 30.8% [4] - The company has strategically located its thermal power assets in economically growing provinces and resource-rich areas, with 78.15% of its installed capacity in central, eastern, southern, and northern China [6] Group 2: Renewable Energy Development - The company is actively expanding its renewable energy business, with wind and solar installed capacities of 24,313 MW and 9,433 MW respectively by the end of 2024 [7] - Planned capital expenditures for renewable energy are significant, with HKD 534.33 billion in 2024 and HKD 568 billion in 2025, aiming to add 10,000 MW of new renewable capacity [7] - The successful listing of China Resources New Energy is expected to alleviate capital expenditure pressures and support rapid growth in renewable energy [7] Group 3: Cost and Profitability - The company's operating costs decreased by 1.9% in 2024, with fuel costs down by 4.2%, contributing to performance recovery [8] - The average utilization hours for coal-fired power plants were 4,625 hours in 2024, slightly down from 2023 but exceeding the national average by 225 hours [6] - Profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected at HKD 15.11 billion, HKD 15.83 billion, and HKD 16.57 billion respectively, with growth rates of 5.00%, 4.77%, and 4.67% [9] Group 4: Chemical Industry - TDI prices have surged due to ongoing supply disruptions, with a reported price of CNY 15,925 per ton as of July 21, 2025, reflecting a 27% increase from the previous week [14] - The global TDI supply is expected to contract significantly due to production halts from major manufacturers, leading to a 16% reduction in global TDI capacity [14] - China's TDI production capacity is increasing, with a notable 83% year-on-year growth in TDI exports in the first half of 2025 [14]