Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Views of the Report - In July, the equity market rose significantly, but convertible bonds underperformed the underlying stocks. The CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 3.83%, while the CSI All-Share Index rose 5.8%. Year-to-date, the CSI Convertible Bond Index and the CSI All-Share Index rose 11.11% and 10.33% respectively [2][11]. - The healthcare sector was strong, and convertible bonds followed the upward trend but still underperformed the underlying stocks. The healthcare and information technology convertible bond indices had the best performance in July, with increases of 7.82% and 7.13% respectively [3][21]. - The double-low strategy should pay more attention to the valuation elasticity of the underlying stocks. It is recommended to focus on the more growth-oriented AI and robotics sectors [4]. Group 3: Summary According to the Directory 1. Convertible Bond Monthly Market Tracking - In terms of price classification, in July, the Wande High-Price Convertible Bond Index rose 5.84%, significantly leading the low-price (+4.27%) and medium-price indices (+2.72%). Year-to-date, the cumulative increases of low-price and high-price convertible bonds were basically the same, both higher than that of medium-price convertible bonds [2][13]. - By convertible bond issue size, in July, the small-cap and mid-cap convertible bond indices performed strongly, with increases of 4.47% and 4.02% respectively, higher than the large-cap convertible bond index (+3.11%). Year-to-date, the small-cap index had a significant lead [16]. - By credit rating, in July, the AA+ and AA convertible bond indices had relatively large increases. Throughout the year, low-rated convertible bonds still significantly outperformed high-rated ones [17]. - In terms of sectors, in July, the healthcare and information technology convertible bond indices performed best. The financial convertible bond index only rose 0.47% this month, while the underlying stocks rose 3.69% [3][21]. - Driven by the sharp rise of the underlying stocks, in July, the double-low strategy significantly underperformed the high-price low-premium strategy. The double-low strategy index rose only 2.36% in July, while the high-price low-premium strategy rose 7.29% [26]. 2. Convertible Bond Monthly Investment Recommendations 2.1 Strategy Recommendation: The Double-Low Strategy Should Focus on the Valuation Elasticity of the Underlying Stocks - The double-low portfolio constructed in July had 22 targets. From July 1st to 30th, the portfolio return was 1.78%, underperforming the CSI Convertible Bond Index by 2 pct [29]. - In August, 15 individual bonds were selected. The average convertible bond price, conversion value, and conversion premium rate of the portfolio were 124 yuan, 117 yuan, and 7% respectively [32]. 2.2 Allocation Recommendation: Focus on the More Growth-Oriented AI and Robotics Sectors - The current market risk appetite has significantly recovered. Using high-price low-premium convertible bonds to replace the underlying stocks can better obtain the returns from the rise of the underlying stocks. It is recommended to focus on the technology sector, especially AI and robotics [34].
转债估值上升,挖掘结构性机会
Xiangcai Securities·2025-07-31 10:07