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九方智投控股(09636):深度研究:流量时代投教龙头,“科技+投研”打造护城河

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Add" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [2][7]. Core Viewpoints - The company is a leading online investment education service provider in China, benefiting from a unique "public MCN + private enterprise WeChat + self-owned app traffic synergy" model, which positions it well to capitalize on the flow era [7][6]. - The demand for investment advisory services is expected to surge due to supportive policies and a shift in investor preferences towards capital markets, as traditional investment channels narrow [6][49]. - The company has a strong product matrix that covers both high-end and long-tail customers, with a focus on technology and research to enhance user experience [6][29]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company is one of the first to obtain a securities investment advisory license from the China Securities Regulatory Commission, establishing a solid foundation in the industry [15]. - The investment advisory license is scarce, with only 78 licensed institutions as of April 2025, and the regulatory environment is stringent [16]. 2. Market Demand - The capital market is experiencing a revival, with policies enhancing liquidity and investor confidence, leading to increased demand for professional asset allocation services [49]. - The scale of wealth management products has grown significantly, from 0.37 trillion yuan in 2019 to 5.16 trillion yuan in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 68.98% [53]. 3. Business Model - The company employs a multi-channel approach for user acquisition, leveraging MCN accounts, internet terminals, and traditional media to create a diversified "traffic pool" [24]. - The operational focus is on precise user segmentation and targeted content delivery, converting traffic into valuable sales leads [25]. 4. Product System - The company has developed a comprehensive product line that includes high-end VIP services and small, lightweight products to cater to a broader audience [29]. - The introduction of small-scale products has significantly increased user engagement, with 2.2 million uses recorded by the end of 2024 [31]. 5. Performance Metrics - The company's revenue has grown from 282 million yuan in 2019 to 2.306 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 52.3% [31]. - The order revenue for 2024 reached 3.51 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 49.3% [31]. 6. Profitability Forecast - The projected net profit for 2025 is 1.158 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 325% [8]. - The company is expected to maintain a high gross margin above 80%, despite slight declines due to increased content production costs [39].