SPM(SH:600459) Orient Securities·2025-07-31 12:43Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 18.48 CNY, based on a 21X valuation of the estimated EPS for 2025-2027 [3][5]. Core Insights - The company is focusing on continuous investment in core businesses and innovation to enhance operational quality. The precious metals business includes manufacturing, recycling, and trading, with a significant portion of revenue coming from recycling and trading, which has lower profitability [8]. - The new materials manufacturing segment is expected to contribute significantly to profitability, with a projected 30% of revenue contributing to 56% of gross profit in 2024. The company is investing in high-margin projects, including a catalyst production line, to further enhance profitability [8]. - The global shift in the chemical industry is anticipated to benefit the company's catalyst business, as production capacity is expected to increase significantly, allowing the company to capture growing domestic demand for high-margin products [8]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from 45,086 million CNY in 2023 to 65,789 million CNY in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8.3% [4]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 468 million CNY in 2023 to 825 million CNY in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of about 8.2% [4]. - The EPS is forecasted to rise from 0.62 CNY in 2023 to 1.08 CNY in 2027, indicating a steady growth trajectory [4].