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苏盐井神(603299):优质盐化工区域龙头,盐穴储能价值或严重低估

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (首次) [5] Core Views - The company is a leading player in the salt chemical industry in East China, focusing on "salt + energy storage," with low debt and stable cash flow [5] - The core business includes salt and salt chemical products, contributing 85% of revenue gross profit, benefiting from stable product pricing and declining coal prices [5] - The company is actively developing salt cavern storage for natural gas and compressed air, which are expected to significantly contribute to performance in the next five years [5][6] - The company plans to increase production capacity significantly by 2030, with a projected total capacity of 12 million tons for salt and salt chemical products [5] - The company is also expanding into compressed air energy storage and small molecule gas storage projects, enhancing its growth potential [8] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The closing price as of July 31, 2025, is 10.48 yuan, with a market capitalization of 8,191.78 million yuan [3] Financial Data - The company has a total share capital of 781.66 million shares and a debt-to-asset ratio of 37.23% [3] - The net asset value per share is 7.97 yuan [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 are 5,682 million, 5,344 million, 5,560 million, 6,728 million, and 7,727 million yuan respectively, with a growth rate of 4.03% in 2025 [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 738 million, 769 million, 705 million, 917 million, and 1,130 million yuan from 2023 to 2027, with a significant increase expected in 2026 and 2027 [7] - The price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) is projected to decrease from 11.09 in 2023 to 7.25 in 2027, indicating potential for valuation growth [7] Business Development - The company is planning to invest up to 1.8 billion yuan in developing a brine salt project, which is expected to increase solid salt production by 3 million tons per year [5] - The company is also pursuing partnerships for compressed air energy storage and small molecule gas storage projects, indicating a strategic expansion into new business areas [8]