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海信家电(000921):海外收入稳健增长,Q2归母净利润短期承压
HUAXI Securities·2025-08-01 02:23

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Hisense Home Appliances is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company achieved revenue of 49.34 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.44%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.08 billion yuan, up 3.01% year-on-year. However, in Q2 2025, revenue was 24.50 billion yuan, down 2.60% year-on-year, and net profit was 949 million yuan, down 8.25% year-on-year [2] Summary by Sections Business Performance - External sales revenue showed steady growth, while domestic sales faced short-term pressure. In H1 2025, the HVAC segment generated revenue of 23.69 billion yuan, up 4.07% year-on-year, with the central air conditioning business affected by the real estate renovation market, leading to a decline in Hisense Hitachi's revenue by 6.0% year-on-year. The new air conditioning segment saw rapid growth, with a 48% increase in revenue for the high-end series [3] - The washing and refrigeration segment achieved revenue of 15.39 billion yuan, up 4.76% year-on-year, with retail sales of Rongsheng refrigerators and Hisense refrigerators increasing by 9.7% and 8.6% respectively. Hisense washing machines focused on technological upgrades and scenario-based innovations, with domestic revenue up 37.6% year-on-year [3] - Other main businesses generated revenue of 6.61 billion yuan, up 8.89% year-on-year, with the three electric companies achieving a 3% year-on-year revenue increase and new business rights of 6.9 billion yuan, laying a foundation for future order growth [3] - By region, domestic revenue in H1 2025 was 25.25 billion yuan, down 0.31% year-on-year, while overseas revenue was 20.45 billion yuan, up 12.34% year-on-year, with significant growth in Europe (22.7%), the Americas (26.2%), and the Middle East and Africa (22.8%) [3] Profitability Analysis - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 21.48%, up 0.2 percentage points year-on-year. The HVAC segment's gross margin was 27.12%, down 1.56 percentage points, while the washing and refrigeration segment's gross margin was 18.74%, up 2.12 percentage points. The gross margin for other main businesses was 15.80%, up 0.99 percentage points [4] - Domestic gross margin was 31.02%, down 0.06 percentage points, while overseas gross margin was 12.33%, up 1.35 percentage points, attributed to scale effects and product improvements [4] - The net profit margin for H1 2025 was 6.06%, down 0.17 percentage points, and for Q2 2025, it was 5.53%, down 0.41 percentage points, influenced by exchange losses and increased operational costs due to organizational restructuring [5] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on smart living strategies and technological innovation, with a diverse brand matrix including Hisense, Rongsheng, Kelon, Hitachi, and York, catering to differentiated customer needs. Hisense's brand value and recognition continue to rise, supported by sponsorship of major international sports events, enhancing its global brand influence [6] Financial Forecast - The company adjusted its profit forecast, expecting revenues of 99.2 billion yuan, 106.8 billion yuan, and 114.2 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with net profits of 3.72 billion yuan, 4.21 billion yuan, and 4.66 billion yuan respectively. The corresponding EPS is projected to be 2.68 yuan, 3.04 yuan, and 3.36 yuan, maintaining a PE ratio of 10, 8, and 8 times for the respective years [8]