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从微观出发的五维行业轮动月度跟踪-20250801
Soochow Securities·2025-08-01 03:34
  • Model Name: Five-Dimensional Industry Rotation Model; Model Construction Idea: Based on the Dongwu Financial Engineering multi-factor stock selection system, the model is constructed from the micro-level of individual stocks, dividing micro-factors into five categories: volatility, fundamentals, trading volume, sentiment, and momentum[6]; Model Construction Process: The model uses style indicators to classify stocks within industries, constructing intra-industry dispersion and traction indicators to synthesize final industry factors. The five-dimensional industry rotation model includes volatility, fundamentals, trading volume, sentiment, and momentum factors[6]; Model Evaluation: The model effectively captures industry style differences and integrates multiple factors to enhance industry rotation strategies[6] - Model Name: Five-Dimensional Industry Rotation Model for CSI 300 Index Enhancement; Model Construction Idea: The model applies the five-dimensional industry rotation model to enhance the CSI 300 index by selecting top and bottom industries monthly[21]; Model Construction Process: At the end of each month, the top five industries are selected as enhanced industries, and the bottom five industries are excluded. The weights of excluded industries are proportionally reassigned to the enhanced industries, forming a new CSI 300 enhanced portfolio with monthly rebalancing[21] Model Backtest Performance - Five-Dimensional Industry Rotation Model, Annualized Return: 22.01%, Annualized Volatility: 10.78%, IR: 2.04, Monthly Win Rate: 73.55%, Maximum Drawdown: 13.30%[11][15] - Five-Dimensional Industry Rotation Model (Long-Only), Annualized Return: 10.71%, Annualized Volatility: 6.59%, IR: 1.63, Monthly Win Rate: 71.07%, Maximum Drawdown: 9.36%[15][16] - Five-Dimensional Industry Rotation Model for CSI 300 Index Enhancement, Annualized Return: 8.61%, Annualized Volatility: 7.41%, IR: 1.16, Monthly Win Rate: 68.85%, Maximum Drawdown: 12.65%[22] Factor Backtest Performance - Volatility Factor, Annualized Return: 11.57%, Annualized Volatility: 10.12%, IR: 1.14, Monthly Win Rate: 60.32%, Maximum Drawdown: 14.27%[15] - Fundamentals Factor, Annualized Return: 6.80%, Annualized Volatility: 12.14%, IR: 0.56, Monthly Win Rate: 56.35%, Maximum Drawdown: 26.32%[15] - Trading Volume Factor, Annualized Return: 8.83%, Annualized Volatility: 11.72%, IR: 0.75, Monthly Win Rate: 60.32%, Maximum Drawdown: 18.40%[15] - Sentiment Factor, Annualized Return: 8.01%, Annualized Volatility: 12.86%, IR: 0.62, Monthly Win Rate: 64.29%, Maximum Drawdown: 14.79%[15] - Momentum Factor, Annualized Return: 11.54%, Annualized Volatility: 10.67%, IR: 1.08, Monthly Win Rate: 60.80%, Maximum Drawdown: 13.52%[15]