Dongguan Securities·2025-08-01 10:19Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the public utility industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by more than 10% in the next six months [49]. Core Insights - In June, the total electricity consumption in the society increased by 5.4% year-on-year, with significant growth in the third industry and urban residents' electricity consumption [44][47]. - The public utility index has underperformed the CSI 300 index, with a decline of 2.7% in the last two weeks and 2.0% year-to-date [12][22]. - The report highlights the performance of various sub-sectors, with hydroelectric power down by 4.8% and thermal service down by 3.6% in the last two weeks [13][20]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - As of July 31, the public utility index has dropped 2.7% in the last two weeks, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.7 percentage points [12]. - Year-to-date, the public utility index has decreased by 2.0%, lagging behind the CSI 300 index by 5.5 percentage points [12]. - Among the 132 listed companies in the public utility index, 32 saw stock price increases, with ST Jinhong, Victory Energy, and New Construction shares rising by 28.0%, 23.7%, and 15.5% respectively [13]. 2. Industry Valuation - As of July 31, the public utility sector's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 18.5 times, with the solar power sector at 584.5 times and thermal service at 34.8 times [20][21]. - The thermal power sector's P/E ratio is 11.8 times, indicating a relatively lower valuation compared to other sectors [20]. 3. Industry Data Tracking - The average price of Q6000 coal at the pit in Shaanxi Yulin was 587 RMB/ton, a 0.5% increase from the previous value [34]. - The average price of Q5500 coal at Qinhuangdao port was 643 RMB/ton, reflecting a 3.3% increase [34]. 4. Key Industry News - The National Energy Administration reported that the cumulative installed power generation capacity reached 3.65 billion kilowatts by the end of June, a year-on-year increase of 18.7% [47]. - The market transaction electricity volume for the first half of the year was 2.95 trillion kilowatt-hours, up 4.8% year-on-year, accounting for 60.9% of total electricity consumption [47]. 5. Industry Weekly Viewpoint - The report suggests focusing on companies like Huadian International and Guodian Power in the thermal power sector due to the decline in average coal prices [44]. - In the gas sector, companies such as Xin'ao Co., Jiufeng Energy, and New Natural Gas are recommended for their strategic advantages in gas sourcing and distribution [44][45].