宏观策略周报：2025世界人工智能大会描绘AI新未来，7月制造业PMI为49.3%-20250801

Group 1 - The report highlights the significance of the 2025 World Artificial Intelligence Conference (WAIC) held in Shanghai, showcasing advancements in AI technology and global collaboration opportunities, which are expected to drive industrial intelligence upgrades [2][11][12] - In June, the profits of industrial enterprises above designated size decreased by 1.8% year-on-year, with a notable recovery in the equipment manufacturing sector, indicating the positive impact of the "two new" policies [14][17] - The manufacturing PMI for July was reported at 49.3%, reflecting a slight decline of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a cooling in manufacturing activity, although the production index remains above the critical point, suggesting overall expansion in production activities [19][22] Group 2 - The investment strategy emphasizes the development of new productive forces as a key policy direction, suggesting a focus on sectors such as artificial intelligence, innovative pharmaceuticals, robotics, and deep-sea technology for potential excess returns [3][33] - There is a strong recommendation to boost domestic consumption, with expectations for consumer spending to increase, particularly in new consumption, home appliances, and automotive sectors [3][33] - The report suggests that gold may see sustained demand as a safe-haven asset amid rising geopolitical tensions and global economic uncertainties, indicating a long-term investment opportunity in gold [3][33]