SINOLINK SECURITIES·2025-08-03 02:58Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The copper market shows a steady upward trend in demand, with a focus on observing global inventory levels and U.S. demand recovery [13] - The aluminum sector is stabilizing at the bottom, facing seasonal pressures and production adjustments [15] - Precious metals, particularly gold, are gaining attractiveness as a safe haven due to geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties [16] - The rare earth sector is expected to see price increases due to supply constraints and policy changes, benefiting leading state-owned enterprises [32] - The antimony market is stabilizing with expectations of price recovery driven by export improvements and domestic production cuts [34] - Molybdenum prices are on the rise due to supply disruptions and increasing demand from the steel industry [35] - Tin prices are under slight pressure but supported by strong inventory levels and demand recovery in related sectors [36] Summary by Sections 1. Base and Precious Metals Market Overview - Copper prices decreased by 1.66% to $9,633.00 per ton on LME, with domestic inventory down 0.1 thousand tons to 11.93 thousand tons [1] - Aluminum prices fell by 2.26% to $2,571.50 per ton on LME, with domestic electrolytic aluminum inventory increasing [2] - Gold prices increased by 3.08% to $3,416.00 per ounce, driven by geopolitical tensions and economic concerns [3] 2. Base and Precious Metals Fundamental Updates 2.1 Copper - The copper processing fee index rose to -$42.09 per ton, with downstream demand showing weakness [1] 2.2 Aluminum - Domestic aluminum processing rates slightly decreased, with expectations of continued weak performance [2] 2.3 Precious Metals - Gold's appeal as a safe haven is increasing amid global trade tensions and geopolitical conflicts [3] 3. Minor Metals and Rare Earth Market Overview - Rare earth prices are expected to rise due to supply constraints and policy changes, with strategic resources needing re-evaluation [32] - Antimony prices are anticipated to recover due to improved export expectations and domestic production cuts [34] - Molybdenum prices are increasing due to supply disruptions and strong demand from the steel sector [35] 4. Minor Metals and Rare Earth Fundamental Updates 4.1 Rare Earth - Prices for praseodymium-neodymium oxide rose by 7.23% to 513,200 yuan per ton, with supply tightening expected [33] 4.2 Antimony - Antimony ingot prices remain stable, with expectations of recovery driven by export improvements [34] 4.3 Molybdenum - Molybdenum prices increased by 8.02% to 4,310 yuan per ton, with supply disruptions impacting the market [35] 4.4 Tin - Tin prices decreased by 2.69% to 264,100 yuan per ton, but strong inventory levels provide support [36]