Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The central bank protected the cross - month liquidity. Capital prices declined, and bill rates hit a new low for the year. The central bank conducted net open - market operations to inject funds during the cross - month period and then shifted to net withdrawal after the cross - month period [1]. - Certificate of deposit (CD) yields decreased, and the government bond yield curve shifted downward. CD net financing rebounded, with large - bank CD issuance rates rising and the average issuance term shortening [2]. - Next week, the net issuance of government bonds will decrease, while the net payment amount will increase. Inter - bank repurchase trading volume and leverage ratio declined before the cross - month period and rebounded after it [3]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Capital Market - Capital Prices: R001 closed at 1.35% (previous 1.55%), DR001 at 1.31% (previous 1.52%), R007 at 1.49% (previous 1.69%), and DR007 at 1.42% (previous 1.65%). The 6M national - share bank bill transfer and discount rate closed at 0.79% (previous 0.72%), hitting a new low of 0.40% for the year during the week [1]. - Central Bank Operations: The central bank's reverse repurchase injection was 1663.2 billion yuan, with 1656.3 billion yuan maturing, resulting in a net injection of 6.9 billion yuan. There was also 1.2 trillion yuan of buy - out reverse repurchase maturing this week [1]. 3.2 Inter - bank Certificates of Deposit - Yield and Net Financing: CD yields decreased. The 3M, 6M, and 1Y yields decreased by 4.44bp, 5.13bp, and 4.00bp respectively. CD net financing was 10 billion yuan (previous - 559.8 billion yuan) [2]. - Issuance Rate and Term: The 1Y CD issuance rates of state - owned banks, joint - stock banks, city commercial banks, and rural commercial banks were 1.63%, 1.63%, 1.70%, and 1.75% respectively, with changes of + 0.35bp, - 4.30bp, + 0.84bp, and + 6.67bp compared to the previous period. The weighted average issuance term was 5.9M (previous 7.3M) [2]. 3.3 Government Bonds - This Week: National debt net issuance was 160.2 billion yuan, and local government bond net issuance was 243.1 billion yuan, with a total net issuance of 403.3 billion yuan and a total net payment of 294.7 billion yuan [3]. - Next Week: It is expected that national debt net issuance will be 283 billion yuan, and local government bond net issuance will be 82.8 billion yuan, with a total net issuance of 365.8 billion yuan and a total net payment of 302.2 billion yuan [3]. 3.4 Market Transactions and Leverage - Trading Volume: The average daily volume of pledged repurchase transactions was 6.74 trillion yuan (previous 7.70 trillion yuan) [3]. - Leverage Ratio: The average daily inter - bank market leverage ratio was 108.72% (previous 108.85%) [3].
流动性和机构行为跟踪:央行呵护跨月资金,票据再创年内新低
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-08-03 03:29