Workflow
反内卷带动行业提质升级,重视专业工程投资机会
Tianfeng Securities·2025-08-03 03:42

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [5] Core Viewpoints - The "anti-involution" trend is driving quality upgrades in the industry, emphasizing investment opportunities in specialized engineering companies. This trend is expected to improve corporate profitability and increase capital expenditures in green and low-carbon transformations, benefiting specialized engineering firms [1][19][32] - The government is focusing on innovation-driven and green transformation, which is broader than the supply-side structural reforms of 2015. This includes enhancing industry self-discipline and optimizing supply structures through technological upgrades [2][13] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The construction index fell by 2.5% in the week of July 28 to August 1, underperforming the broader market by 1.3 percentage points. Only the architectural design and services sub-sector maintained an upward trend, with notable individual stock gains [4][26] Investment Recommendations - Key investment opportunities include: 1. Cement Engineering: China National Materials (high dividend cement engineering leader, expected dividend yield over 5% in 2025) [19] 2. Metallurgical Engineering: China Steel International (low-carbon metallurgical engineering leader, expected dividend yield of 5.5% in 2025) [19] 3. Steel Structure Manufacturing: Honglu Steel Structure, Jinggong Steel Structure [19] 4. Chemical Engineering: China Chemical, Sanwei Chemical, Donghua Technology, benefiting from rising chemical product prices [19] Key Indicators - As of August 1, 2025, the cement shipment rate was 30%, down 13 percentage points from the previous week, while the asphalt plant operating rate was 33.1%, up 4.3 percentage points [3][20] Structural Changes and Opportunities - The report highlights the importance of focusing on infrastructure investments in regions with high demand, such as Sichuan, Zhejiang, Anhui, and Jiangsu, and recommends local state-owned enterprises and central enterprises involved in major infrastructure projects [32][35] Emerging Trends - The report suggests that the nuclear power sector remains highly attractive, with ongoing investments, and highlights the potential of AI and digital technologies in transforming traditional industries [34][36] Specialized Engineering Investment Targets - The report lists specific companies in specialized engineering fields, including: - China National Materials (Cement) - China Steel International (Metallurgy) - Honglu Steel Structure (Steel Structure) - China Chemical (Chemicals) [20] Conclusion - The overall sentiment is positive towards the construction and specialized engineering sectors, driven by government policies aimed at enhancing industry quality and profitability through technological and structural upgrades [1][19][32]