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北交所定期报告20250803:北证50指数周内回调,关注中报高增与产业催化共振标的
Soochow Securities·2025-08-03 07:59

Market Performance - The North Exchange 50 Index declined by 2.7% this week, closing at 1,419.61 points as of August 1, 2025, which is a larger drop compared to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index (-1.75%), the ChiNext Index (-0.74%), and the Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index (-1.65%) [10] - The average market capitalization of North Exchange A-shares is 3.113 billion yuan, with a total of 269 constituent stocks [24] Liquidity and Trading Activity - The average daily trading volume for North Exchange A-shares decreased by 19.25% to 25.1 billion yuan this week, with a daily turnover rate of 5.94%, down by 1.06 percentage points [10] - The trading volume for North Exchange A-shares this week was 125.5 billion yuan, compared to 155.4 billion yuan the previous week [26] Industry News and Economic Policies - The National Development and Reform Commission announced the allocation of 800 billion yuan for "two heavy" construction funds and 735 billion yuan for central budget investments, with an additional 690 billion yuan planned for "two new" funds by October [18] - The U.S. Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate at 4.25%-4.50%, but internal divisions are growing, with two members voting for a 25 basis point cut, marking the first dissent since 1993 [20] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on stocks with high mid-year growth and those benefiting from industrial catalysts, particularly in the solid-state battery sector and AI technology [5] - The current price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for North Exchange A-shares, ChiNext, Shanghai Main Board, Shenzhen Main Board, and Sci-Tech Innovation Board are 50.92, 38.12, 12.37, 20.95, and 60.29 respectively, indicating a high valuation environment [11] Risks - Potential risks include policy risks, liquidity risks, and the risk of corporate earnings not meeting expectations, which could negatively impact stock prices [39]