Soochow Securities·2025-08-03 09:08Investment Rating - Maintain "Buy" rating for the non-bank financial sector [1] Core Views - The non-bank financial sector has shown significant market activity, with the Hong Kong Stock Exchange optimizing its IPO issuance and pricing mechanisms [1][4] - The insurance sector has outperformed other sub-sectors, with a strong growth in life insurance premiums and a downward adjustment in preset interest rates [4][22] - The securities sector is benefiting from a substantial increase in trading volume and favorable market policies, while the multi-financial sector is transitioning into a stable growth phase [4][31] Summary by Sections 1. Recent Performance of Non-Bank Financial Sub-Sectors - In the recent five trading days (July 28, 2025 - August 1, 2025), only the insurance sector outperformed the CSI 300 index, with the insurance sector down 0.18%, securities down 3.11%, and multi-financial down 3.23% [9] - Year-to-date performance shows the insurance sector up 11.87%, multi-financial up 6.24%, and securities up 1.79%, while the overall non-bank financial sector is up 4.94% [10] 2. Non-Bank Financial Sub-Sector Insights 2.1 Securities - Trading volume has significantly increased, with an average daily trading amount of 19,189 billion yuan in August, up 178% year-on-year [16] - The balance of margin trading reached 19,848 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 38.14% [16] - The average PB valuation for the securities industry is projected at 1.3x for 2025E, with recommendations for leading firms like CITIC Securities and Dongfang Caifu [21] 2.2 Insurance - The preset interest rate for traditional insurance has been adjusted down to 1.99%, triggering a reduction in preset rates for various insurance products [22] - Life insurance premiums showed strong growth, with a 5.4% increase in original premium income year-on-year for the first half of 2025 [27] - The insurance sector is expected to benefit from economic recovery and rising interest rates, with a valuation range of 0.60-0.91 times 2025E P/EV, indicating a "Buy" rating [30] 2.3 Multi-Financial - The trust industry saw its asset scale reach 29.56 trillion yuan by the end of 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 23.58% [31] - The futures market experienced a trading volume of 740 million contracts in June 2025, with a transaction value of 52.79 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 28.91% [38] - The multi-financial sector is transitioning into a stable growth phase, with a focus on innovation and risk management as key future directions [44] 3. Industry Ranking and Key Company Recommendations - The recommended ranking for the non-bank financial sector is insurance > securities > other multi-financial [47] - Key companies recommended include China Ping An, New China Life, China Life, CITIC Securities, and Dongfang Caifu, as they are expected to benefit from favorable market conditions and economic recovery [47]