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“反内卷”情绪降温,关注基本面变化
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-08-03 13:08

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction materials sector [3] Core Views - The sentiment of "anti-involution" is cooling down, and attention should be paid to changes in the fundamentals of the construction materials sector [2] - The construction materials sector experienced a decline of 2.30% from July 28 to August 1, 2025, with specific declines in sub-sectors such as cement (1.25%), glass manufacturing (4.55%), and fiberglass manufacturing (4.01%) [1][11] - The report highlights the importance of urban renewal as a key driver for real estate demand, while also emphasizing the need for regulatory compliance to curb disorderly competition among enterprises [2] Summary by Sections Cement Industry Tracking - As of August 1, 2025, the national cement price index is 337.69 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.76% from the previous week, with a total cement output of 2.754 million tons, up 1.07% week-on-week [15] - The utilization rate of cement clinker production capacity is 58.09%, down 0.01 percentage points from the previous week, and the cement inventory ratio is 62.21%, down 0.39 percentage points [15] - Infrastructure remains the core support for cement demand, with expectations of resilient demand in Q3 due to accelerated issuance of special bonds and the promotion of "dual-use" infrastructure projects [15] Glass Industry Tracking - The average price of float glass this week is 1295.28 yuan/ton, an increase of 4.58% from the previous week, with a total inventory of 51.78 million weight boxes, down 156,000 weight boxes week-on-week [28] - Market sentiment has weakened due to falling futures prices, leading to the release of speculative inventory and a decrease in shipments from float glass manufacturers [28] Fiberglass Industry Tracking - The price of non-alkali fiberglass has decreased, primarily due to previous price adjustments, while demand remains weak during the traditional off-season [6] - The price of G75 electronic yarn remains stable, supported by high-end product demand, while supply is expected to increase in the future [6] Consumer Building Materials - Consumer building materials are benefiting from improved second-hand housing transactions and consumption stimulus policies, with a focus on companies like Beixin Building Materials and Weixing New Materials [2][8] - The report recommends monitoring companies with growth potential in the consumer building materials sector, such as Puyuan Co. and Yilong Co. [4]