Changjiang Securities·2025-08-03 13:44Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the investment banking and brokerage industry [7] Core Insights - The brokerage sector is experiencing high growth in performance as indicated by preliminary reports, with increasing allocation value. The insurance sector is also expected to see a rise in new business value driven by an increase in value ratios. The equity market continues to rise, leading to favorable expectations for investment returns and profit growth. Current valuations imply a pessimistic long-term investment outlook, but the report considers current valuations to be safe, given the medium to long-term interest rate spread levels [2][4] - The report recommends companies with stable profit growth and dividend rates, including Jiangsu Jinzhong, China Ping An, and China Pacific Insurance, which have clear advantages in business models and market positions. Additionally, it suggests focusing on New China Life, China Life, Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing, CITIC Securities, Dongfang Wealth, Tonghuashun, and Jiufang Zhitu Holdings based on performance elasticity and valuation levels [2][4] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The non-bank financial index decreased by 2.4% this week, with a relative excess return of -0.6% compared to the CSI 300, ranking 22 out of 31 industries. Year-to-date, the non-bank financial index is up by 4.0%, with a relative excess return of +1.0%, also ranking 21 out of 31 [5] - The market has seen a decline in activity, with an average daily trading volume of 18,096.34 billion yuan, down 2.11% week-on-week, and an average turnover rate of 2.12%, down 2.50 basis points [5] Brokerage Sector - The brokerage sector's performance has been weak overall, with the securities sector down 3.1% this week. The report highlights that the average daily trading volume and turnover rate are above the 2024 averages, indicating a gradual recovery in brokerage business profitability [17][39] - Margin financing balances have increased to 1.98 trillion yuan, up 2.21% week-on-week, indicating a recovery in credit business [46] Investment Business - The equity market has seen an overall decline, with the CSI 300 index down 1.75% and the ChiNext index down 0.74%. The report notes that the proportion of equity investments in brokerage assets is approximately 10%-30%, while bond investments account for 70%-90% [43][44] Insurance Sector - The insurance industry reported a cumulative premium income of 37,350 billion yuan in June 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.31%. The report indicates that the premium income from property insurance was 9,645 billion yuan, up 5.10%, while life insurance income was 27,705 billion yuan, up 5.38% [21][22] - The total assets of the insurance industry reached 39.22 trillion yuan as of June 2025, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.08% [26][27]