Soochow Securities·2025-08-04 02:28Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the construction materials industry [1] Core Views - The construction materials sector is experiencing weak demand, with the PMI showing a decline. The market is awaiting new policies to stimulate demand [4] - The report highlights that the cement market is facing challenges due to adverse weather conditions, leading to a low average shipment rate of less than 45% in key regions. However, the overall price decline has slowed down, indicating potential stabilization in the near term [11][18] - The report suggests that the supply-side consensus on self-discipline within the industry is strengthening, which may lead to better profitability compared to the previous year [11] - The report recommends focusing on cyclical industries that may benefit from policy support, particularly in cement and glass sectors, and highlights specific companies such as Huaxin Cement, Conch Cement, and others as potential investment opportunities [4][11] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Trends - The construction materials sector has seen a decline of 2.31% in the past week, underperforming against the Shanghai Composite Index [4] - The report notes that the cement price is currently at 339.7 RMB/ton, down 1.0 RMB/ton from the previous week and down 42.5 RMB/ton year-on-year [19][20] 2. Bulk Construction Materials Fundamentals and High-Frequency Data 2.1 Cement - The average cement shipment rate is reported at 44.7%, with a slight increase of 1.7 percentage points from the previous week, but a decrease of 2.0 percentage points year-on-year [26] - The report anticipates that cement prices will stabilize in the short term, despite current weak demand [11][18] 2.2 Glass - The average price of float glass is reported at 1295.3 RMB/ton, which is an increase of 56.7 RMB/ton from the previous week but a decrease of 175.7 RMB/ton year-on-year [4] - The report indicates that the glass industry is expected to see a supply-side contraction, which may improve the supply-demand balance in the short to medium term [14] 2.3 Fiberglass - The report highlights that the market for electronic fiberglass products is evolving, with a clear trend towards high-end products, which are expected to see increased penetration and value growth [12] - The profitability of ordinary fiberglass remains resilient, with ongoing demand in sectors like wind power and thermoplastics [12] 3. Industry Dynamics Tracking - The report discusses the impact of government policies aimed at stimulating domestic demand, particularly in the housing market, which is expected to improve the outlook for construction materials [15] - The report emphasizes the importance of companies that are exploring new business models and enhancing their supply chain efficiency [15]