工业硅、碳酸锂期货品种周报-20250804
Chang Cheng Qi Huo·2025-08-04 03:20
- Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - Industrial silicon futures are currently in a wide - range oscillation. The 2509 contract is expected to trade between 7,800 and 10,000 yuan. [6][7] - Lithium carbonate futures are also in a wide - range oscillation. The 2509 contract is expected to trade between 63,000 and 80,000 yuan. [31][32] 3. Summary According to the Catalog Industrial Silicon Futures 3.1 Mid - term Market Analysis - Industrial silicon futures are in a wide - range oscillation. Last week, spot prices showed mixed movements. As of August 1, the price of 421 in Xinjiang was 9,300 yuan/ton, in Yunnan was 10,300 yuan/ton, and in Sichuan was 10,100 yuan/ton. The AI intelligent investment consultation report shows that the daily price is in a downward channel, and there is no obvious long - or short - bias among the main players. The 2509 contract is expected to trade between 7,800 and 10,000 yuan. [6][7] 3.2 Variety Trading Strategies - Last week's strategy: Consider buying in small quantities on dips during the stabilization and recovery of industrial silicon prices. [10] - This week's strategy: Consider grid trading within the range. [11] 3.3 Relevant Data - As of April 19, 2024, the SHFE cathode copper inventory was 300,045 tons, an increase of 322 tons from the previous week, and it is at a relatively high level compared to the past five years. [13] - As of April 19, 2024, the LME copper inventory was 122,125 tons, with a cancelled warrant ratio of 25.73%. It is at a relatively low level compared to the past five years. [17] Lithium Carbonate Futures 3.1 Mid - term Market Analysis - Lithium carbonate futures are in a wide - range oscillation. Last week, spot prices declined. As of August 1, the average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate was 69,000 yuan/ton, and that of industrial - grade was 68,300 yuan/ton. The AI variety diagnosis report shows that the daily price is in an upward channel, and the main players show a strong bullish sentiment. The 2509 contract is expected to trade between 63,000 and 80,000 yuan. [31][32] 3.2 Variety Trading Strategies - Last week's strategy: Consider buying in small quantities on dips during the stabilization and recovery of lithium carbonate prices. [35] - This week's strategy: Consider buying in small quantities when the price of lithium carbonate retraces to the 63,000 - 65,000 yuan range. [36] 3.3 Relevant Data - As of April 19, 2024, the SHFE electrolytic aluminum inventory was 228,537 tons, a decrease of 3,228 tons from the previous week, and it is at a relatively low level compared to the past five years. [39] - As of April 19, 2024, the LME aluminum inventory was 504,000 tons, with a cancelled warrant ratio of 66.03%. It is at a relatively low level compared to the past five years. [41]