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期指:静待走稳
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2025-08-04 03:22

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints - On August 3, the four major stock index futures contracts showed mixed performance. IF fell 0.52%, IH fell 0.67%, IC fell 0.16%, and IM rose 0.21% [1]. - On this trading day, the total trading volume of stock index futures declined, indicating a cooling of investors' trading enthusiasm. The total trading volume of IF decreased by 56,758 lots, IH by 25,092 lots, IC by 30,117 lots, and IM by 54,792 lots. In terms of positions, the total positions of IF decreased by 9,118 lots, IH by 3,066 lots, IC by 6,919 lots, and IM by 10,044 lots [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Index Futures Data - Closing Prices and Fluctuations: The closing prices and percentage changes of the four major stock indexes (CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000) and their corresponding futures contracts on August 3 are presented, with some rising and some falling [1]. - Basis: The basis of each futures contract is provided, showing the difference between the futures price and the spot price [1]. - Trading Volume and Turnover: The trading volume, turnover, and their changes of each futures contract are given, indicating the market activity [1]. - Open Interest: The open interest and its changes of each futures contract are shown, reflecting the market's holding situation [1]. 3.2 Index Futures Member Positions - The long - and short - position changes of the top 20 member institutions in each futures contract are presented, including the net changes in some contracts [5]. 3.3 Market Trends and Influencing Factors - Trend Intensity: The trend intensities of IF and IH are 1, and those of IC and IM are also 1, with the range of trend intensity being integers in the [-2, 2] interval [6]. - Important Drivers: The National Development and Reform Commission has completed the allocation of 69 billion yuan in the third batch of ultra - long - term special treasury bond funds for consumer goods trade - ins this year and will allocate the fourth batch of 69 billion yuan in October to reach the annual plan of 300 billion yuan. The NDRC will continue to promote measures to stabilize employment and the economy, and strengthen economic monitoring and policy reserve [6]. - Other Policies: The "Two - Key" construction project list of 800 billion yuan has been fully allocated, and the central budgetary investment of 735 billion yuan has been basically allocated. The NDRC is taking measures to address "involution - style competition" and promote the high - quality development of the private economy [7]. 3.4 Stock Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.37%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.17%, and the ChiNext Index fell 0.24%. The A - share trading volume was 1.62 trillion yuan, down from 1.96 trillion yuan the previous day. This week, the Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.94% and the ChiNext Index fell 0.74%. Some sectors such as innovative drugs, traditional Chinese medicine, photovoltaic industry chain, intelligent logistics, and AI agents showed strength, while AI hardware, military, stablecoin, and rare earth permanent magnet concepts declined [8].