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固定收益市场周观察:北交所打新:适合“固收+”的低回撤增厚策略
Orient Securities·2025-08-04 03:45

Group 1 - The report highlights the impact of the restoration of VAT on pure bond markets, predicting a reduction in interest income for bond investors by 5-10 basis points [9][10][11] - Short-term effects of the VAT policy may lead to a scarcity of tax-exempt existing bonds, potentially triggering a buying spree [9][10] - In the medium term, the VAT restoration could slow the inflow of funds into the bond market, as institutions may seek higher yields from other asset classes [10][11] Group 2 - The report emphasizes the advantages of participating in the Beijing Stock Exchange (BSE) new share offerings, which offer low costs and high returns, making them suitable for enhancing fixed income+ products [11][12] - Historical data shows that new shares listed on the BSE have maintained significant first-day price increases, averaging over 300% since 2025 [12][13] - The report suggests that the optimal strategy for new share subscriptions involves balancing the amount of capital invested with the probability of successful allocation, with findings indicating that investing 1.7 times the minimum subscription amount yields the highest efficiency [23][25] Group 3 - The report notes that the fixed income market is currently facing challenges due to declining returns, prompting investors to explore fixed income+ strategies [8] - It outlines the expected issuance of 8,285 billion in interest rate bonds this week, indicating a high level of activity in the bond market [27][29] - The sentiment in the bond market is recovering, with various interest rate bonds showing a downward trend in yields, suggesting a favorable environment for bond investors [32][33]